We Think Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李露(查理·芒格支持的那位)曾说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到罗斯百货(纳斯达克:ROST)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险更大。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还借款人,那么它将处于后者的垄断地位。如果情况真的很糟糕,放贷人就可以控制企业。但是,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它不得不以低价筹集新的股本资金,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有负面后果。考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是查看其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Ross Stores Carry?
罗斯百货的债务有多少?
As you can see below, Ross Stores had US$2.21b of debt at November 2024, down from US$2.46b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$4.35b in cash, so it actually has US$2.14b net cash.
正如您在下面看到的,截止2024年11月,罗斯百货的债务为22.1亿美元,比一年前的24.6亿美元有所下降。然而,其资产负债表显示它持有43.5亿美元的现金,因此实际上有21.4亿美元的净现金。
A Look At Ross Stores' Liabilities
深入分析罗斯百货的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ross Stores had liabilities of US$4.84b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.80b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$4.35b in cash and US$176.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表看到,罗斯百货的负债为48.4亿美元,1年内到期,超出这一期限的负债为48亿美元。抵消这些负债的是43.5亿美元的现金以及17620万的应收款项,均在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的总和多出51.2亿美元。
Of course, Ross Stores has a titanic market capitalization of US$51.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Ross Stores boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
当然,罗斯百货的市值达514亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可管理的。不过,我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管负债不容忽视,但罗斯百货拥有净现金,因此可以合理地说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Also positive, Ross Stores grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ross Stores's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
同样积极的是,罗斯百货在过去一年中EBIT增长了22%,这应该使未来偿还债务变得更容易。分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个显而易见的起点。但更重要的是,未来的收益将决定罗斯百货未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Ross Stores may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Ross Stores produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我们最终的考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润支付债务;它需要真实的现金。罗斯百货在资产负债表上可能拥有净现金,但研究一下业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,罗斯百货产生了相当于其EBIT 56%的强劲自由现金流,这大约是我们所期望的。这笔真实的现金意味着它可以在想要削减债务时进行操作。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Ross Stores has US$2.14b in net cash. And we liked the look of last year's 22% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Ross Stores's use of debt is risky. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Ross Stores insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
虽然查看一家公司的总负债总是明智的,但罗斯百货拥有21.4亿美元的净现金,这让人感到非常放心。我们也喜欢去年的22%的同比EBIT增长。因此,我们认为罗斯百货使用债务并不风险。如果我们发现罗斯百货的内部人士最近购买了股票,我们将更有动力进一步研究该股票。如果你也想,那你运气不错,因为今天我们将免费分享报告的内部交易列表。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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