share_log

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

Abercrombie & Fitch公司超越了分析师的预期:看看共识对明年的预测。
Simply Wall St ·  11/29 20:39

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. Abercrombie & Fitch beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$1.2b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 12%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (纽交所:ANF)的投资者一定会感到高兴,因为该公司最新业绩交出了强劲的数字。Abercrombie & Fitch的每股收益超出预期,营业收入达到12亿美金,远超预期,法定每股收益比分析师的预估高出12%。盈利是投资者关注的一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,并判断市场对公司的情绪是否有所改变。我们认为读者会对分析师最新的(法定)盈利报告后的明年预测感兴趣。

big
NYSE:ANF Earnings and Revenue Growth November 29th 2024
纽交所:ANF 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年11月29日

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Abercrombie & Fitch's nine analysts is for revenues of US$5.22b in 2026. This would reflect a decent 8.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to reduce 6.9% to US$9.79 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$5.18b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$9.58 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考虑到最新的业绩,Abercrombie & Fitch的九位分析师目前的共识是2026年营业收入为52.2亿美金。这将反映出相较于过去12个月,营业收入增加8.3%。法定每股收益预计在同一时期内将减少6.9%,降至9.79美金。在此份盈利报告之前,分析师们预测2026年的营业收入为51.8亿美金,每股收益为9.58美金。分析师们似乎对该业务的看法变得更加看好,判断基于他们新的每股收益预估。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$187, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Abercrombie & Fitch at US$220 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$149. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

对187美金的共识价格目标没有重大变化,这表明优化后的每股收益前景不足以对股票的估值产生长期积极影响。不过,还有另一种看待价格目标的方法,就是观察分析师提出的价格目标区间,因为广泛的预估范围可能暗示对该业务可能结果的多元化看法。目前,最看好的分析师给Abercrombie & Fitch的股价估值为每股220美金,而最看淡的则为149美金。这表明估算之间仍然存在一定的多样性,但分析师们似乎并不完全分歧,认为股票可能是成功或失败的局面。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Abercrombie & Fitch'shistorical trends, as the 6.6% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 6.6% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 4.7% annually. So although Abercrombie & Fitch is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

从更大的视角来看,我们理解这些预测的一种方式是将其与过去的表现和行业增长估计进行比较。我们可以从最新的估计中推断,预测期待Abercrombie & Fitch延续其历史趋势,因为到2026年年化营业收入增长6.6%大致与过去五年的年增长6.6%相符。与整体行业相比,分析师的估计(综合)表明,行业的营业收入预计将以每年4.7%的速度增长。因此,尽管预计Abercrombie & Fitch将维持其营业收入增长率,但它的增长速度肯定会超过更广泛的行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Abercrombie & Fitch following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$187, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

这里最重要的是,分析师上调了他们的每股收益估计,这表明在这些结果之后,对Abercrombie & Fitch的乐观情绪明显上升。幸运的是,营业收入的预测没有重大变化,企业仍然预计将比更广泛的行业增长得更快。共识价格目标保持在187美元,最新的估计没有对其价格目标产生影响。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Abercrombie & Fitch. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Abercrombie & Fitch going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这些,我们不会太快对Abercrombie & Fitch得出结论。长期的盈利能力远比明年的利润更为重要。我们有到2027年的Abercrombie & Fitch预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看它们。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Abercrombie & Fitch that you need to take into consideration.

同样值得注意的是,我们发现Abercrombie & Fitch有一个警示信号需要你考虑。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发