To the annoyance of some shareholders, Creative China Holdings Limited (HKG:8368) shares are down a considerable 37% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 25% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider Creative China Holdings as a highly attractive investment with its 4.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
For example, consider that Creative China Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Creative China Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Creative China Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 23% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Creative China Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
What We Can Learn From Creative China Holdings' P/E?
Shares in Creative China Holdings have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Creative China Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Creative China Holdings (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
有了这些信息,我们可以明白为什么Creative China Holdings的市盈率低于市场。显然,许多股东不愿意持有他们认为将继续落后于交易所的股票。
我们可以从Creative China Holdings的市盈率中学到什么?
Creative China Holdings的股价暴跌,其市盈率现在已经足够低,足以触底。尽管市盈率不应该成为决定你是否买入股票的决定性因素,但它是衡量收益预期的有力晴雨表。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对Creative China Holdings的审查显示,鉴于其三年收益趋势看起来不如当前的市场预期,市盈率低迷是其低市盈率的原因。在现阶段,投资者认为,收益改善的可能性不足以证明更高的市盈率是合理的。如果最近的中期收益趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来强劲上涨。
还值得注意的是,我们已经发现了Creative China Holdings的4个警告信号(2个可能很严重!)这是你需要考虑的。
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