Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Fujian Raynen Technology (SHSE:603933) the Stock Surges 27%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 26%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Fujian Raynen Technology (SHSE:603933) the Stock Surges 27%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 26%
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, Fujian Raynen Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603933) shareholders have seen the share price rise 23% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (20%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 14% in the last year, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但如果您选择优秀的个股,您可以获得更高的回报。例如,睿能科技(SHSE:603933)的股东在三年内看到股价上涨了23%,远超市场下跌(20%,不包括分红派息)。然而,近期的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,过去一年该股票的回报仅为14%,包括分红派息。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在过去的一周之内,获得的强劲收益是否表明了长期回报受到基本面的推动值得关注。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
During the three years of share price growth, Fujian Raynen Technology actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 8.5% per year.
在三年的股价增长期间,睿能科技的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降了8.5%。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
因此,我们怀疑市场对公司价值的主要评价标准不是EPS。鉴于这种情况,看一下其他指标也是有意义的。
The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 4.8% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Fujian Raynen Technology's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!
温和的0.3%分红派息收益率不太可能支撑股价。你可以想象长期股东对营业收入下降趋势(每年下降4.8%)的感受。唯一清楚的是,睿能科技的股价与其历史基本数据之间的相关性较低。可能需要进一步研究!
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
This free interactive report on Fujian Raynen Technology's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想进一步调查这只股票,这份关于睿能科技资产负债表强度的免费互动报告是一个很好的开始。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Fujian Raynen Technology, it has a TSR of 26% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR是一种回报计算方式,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣资本融资和拆分的计算价值。可以说,TSR提供了股票所产生回报的更全面的视角。在睿能科技的案例中,它在过去3年中的TSR为26%。这超过了之前提到的股价回报。这主要是由于其分红派息!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Fujian Raynen Technology has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 14% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Raynen Technology that you should be aware of.
看到睿能科技在过去的十二个月中为股东带来了14%的股东总回报真是令人高兴。这包括分红。由于一年期的总资产回报率(TSR)优于五年期的总资产回报率(后者为每年5%),因此股票的表现似乎在近期有所改善。鉴于股票价格的动量依旧强劲,可能值得更仔细地关注该股票,以免错失机会。虽然考虑市场条件对股票价格的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更为关键。例如,我们已经确认了睿能科技需要您注意的一个警告信号。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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