Chutian Dragon Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003040) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.5% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Chutian Dragon's P/S ratio of 7.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in China is also close to 6.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Has Chutian Dragon Performed Recently?
Chutian Dragon could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Chutian Dragon's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 25%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 11% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 44% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 46% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chutian Dragon's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
The Key Takeaway
Chutian Dragon's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've seen that Chutian Dragon maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Chutian Dragon that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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