The 9.9% Return This Week Takes Hoyuan Green Energy's (SHSE:603185) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 151%
The 9.9% Return This Week Takes Hoyuan Green Energy's (SHSE:603185) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 151%
Hoyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603185) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last month. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. In fact, the share price is 134% higher today. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 35% decline over the last twelve months.
弘元绿能公司(SHSE:603185)股东们可能会对上个月股价下跌11%感到担忧。但这并没有减弱公司在过去五年中所创造的真正可观的长期回报。事实上,股价今天比五年前高出了134%。一般来说,长期回报将更好地反映企业质量,而非短期所能体现的。当然,并不意味着现在就便宜。不幸的是,并非所有股东都会持有公司股票很长时间,因此请替那些在过去十二个月遭遇35%下跌的股东想一想。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在过去的一周之内,获得的强劲收益是否表明了长期回报受到基本面的推动值得关注。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的不仅仅是企业的基本业绩,还有投资者的情绪。一个不完美但简单的方式来考虑公司市场意识的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的变化。
During five years of share price growth, Hoyuan Green Energy actually saw its EPS drop 0.9% per year.
在股价增长的五年期间,弘元绿能的每股收益实际上每年下降了0.9%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
因此,很难说每股收益是评判公司的最佳指标,因为此时它可能没有针对利润进行优化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得查看其他指标。
On the other hand, Hoyuan Green Energy's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 31% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
另一方面,弘元绿能的营业收入在过去五年以31%的复合增长率增长得很好。目前管理层很可能将营业收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那么,股东总回报(TSR)呢?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Hoyuan Green Energy's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Hoyuan Green Energy shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 151%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.
我们应该提到弘元绿能的总股东回报率(TSR)与其股价回报率之间的差异。可以说TSR是一种更完整的回报计算,因为它考虑了分红的价值(就好像它们被再投资了一样),以及向股东提供的任何折现资本的假设价值。分红对弘元绿能的股东真的很有益,现金支付有助于其TSR在过去5年中达到了151%,比股价回报更好。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Hoyuan Green Energy had a tough year, with a total loss of 35%, against a market gain of about 7.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 20% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hoyuan Green Energy you should know about.
弘元绿能的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总亏损达35%,而市场的涨幅约为7.8%。即使优质股票的股价有时会下跌,但我们希望在对一个企业的基本指标有所改善之前才会产生兴趣。在光明的一面是,长期股东赚了钱,五年内年均增长20%。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,目前的抛售可能是值得考虑的机会。虽然考虑到市场情况对股价的影响是很值得的,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了弘元绿能的2个警示信号,您应该了解。
We will like Hoyuan Green Energy better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模内部人士买入,我们会更喜欢弘元绿能。在等待的时候,请查看这份免费的不被高估的股票清单(主要是小市值股票),其中包含了相当多最近的内部交易。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。