share_log

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388)

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388)

资本回报率的回报信号暗示龙净环保(SHSE:600388)面临艰难时期
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/01 10:26

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

如果我们想要找到下一个多倍赚钱的股票,有一些关键趋势需要关注。在其他因素中,我们希望看到两件事情;首先,资本雇用率(ROCE)增长,其次,公司资本雇用额度的扩大。简而言之,这类企业是复利机器,这意味着它们不断以越来越高的回报率再投资其收益。话虽如此,从第一眼看到龙净环保(SHSE:600388),我们并未因回报趋势而激动不已,但让我们深入了解一下。

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源现行ROCE与之前资本回报的比较,但过去只能知道这么多。如果您感兴趣,可以查看我们免费的蒙托克可再生能源分析师报告,了解分析师的预测。

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Fujian Longking, this is the formula:

对于不了解的人,ROCE是公司每年税前利润(其回报)与企业的资本雇用额度相关的衡量指标。要为龙净环保计算这一指标,可以使用以下公式:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资本利用率 = 利息和税前利润(EBIT) ÷ (总资产 - 流动负债)

0.069 = CN¥928m ÷ (CN¥27b - CN¥13b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

0.069 = 92800万人民币 ÷ (270亿人民币 - 130亿人民币)(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

Therefore, Fujian Longking has an ROCE of 6.9%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.2% generated by the Machinery industry, it's much better.

因此,龙净环保的ROCE为6.9%。单独看来,这是一个较低的回报率,但与机械行业平均5.2%相比,要好得多。

big
SHSE:600388 Return on Capital Employed December 1st 2024
SHSE:600388 2024年12月1日资本雇用回报率

In the above chart we have measured Fujian Longking's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Fujian Longking for free.

在上面的图表中,我们测量了龙净环保先前的资本回报率与其先前的表现,但未来可能更重要。如果您愿意,您可以免费查看分析师对龙净环保的预测。

The Trend Of ROCE

ROCE趋势

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Fujian Longking, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 14% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.

当我们研究龙净环保的资本回报率趋势时,并没有得到太多的信心。具体来说,过去五年中,资本回报率从14%下降。由于企业正在使用更多资本,而营业收入却有所下滑,这有点令人担忧。这可能意味着企业正在失去竞争优势或市场份额,因为虽然投入更多资金进行投资,实际上却产生了较低的回报 - 可以说是“以较少的成本获得更少的回报”。

On a side note, Fujian Longking has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 49% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

另外值得一提的是,龙净环保已经成功将其流动负债支付至总资产的49%。所以我们可以将这部分与资本回报率的下降联系起来。事实上,这意味着他们的供应商或短期债权人对企业的资助减少,从而降低了一些风险元素。由于企业基本上正在用自己的资金更多地支持其业务运作,您可以主张这使企业在产生资本回报率方面效率更低。无论如何,它们仍然处于相当高的水平,所以如果可能的话,我们希望看到它们进一步下降。

In Conclusion...

最后,同等资本下回报率较低的趋势通常不是我们关注创业板股票的最佳信号。由于这些发展进行良好,因此投资者不太可能表现友好。自五年前以来,该股下跌了32%。除非这些指标朝着更积极的轨迹转变,否则我们将继续寻找其他股票。

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Fujian Longking's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 43% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.

总而言之,我们对龙净环保在不断增加的资本上获得的回报较为担忧。但投资者必须期待某种改善,因为过去五年,该股票已经获得了可观的43%回报。尽管如此,我们对基本面并不感到太舒适,因此我们暂时会避开这只股票。

If you want to continue researching Fujian Longking, you might be interested to know about the 4 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.

如果您想继续研究龙净环保,您可能会对我们分析发现的4个警告标志感兴趣。

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

如果您想寻找财务状况良好、回报卓越的实力强企业,可以免费查看以下公司列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发