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Garmin Ltd.'s (NYSE:GRMN) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Garmin Ltd.'s (NYSE:GRMN) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

Garmin Ltd.(纽交所:GRMN)的股票处于上升趋势:基本面是否推动了这股势头?
Simply Wall St ·  04:56

Garmin's (NYSE:GRMN) stock is up by a considerable 16% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Garmin's ROE today.

在过去三个月中,Garmin(纽约证券交易所代码:GRMN)的股票上涨了16%。正如大多数人所知道的那样,基本面通常是指导市场价格长期走势的因素,因此我们今天决定研究公司的关键财务指标,以确定它们在近期的价格走势中是否可以发挥任何作用。特别是,我们今天将关注Garmin的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Garmin is:

因此,根据上述公式,Garmin的投资回报率为:

20% = US$1.5b ÷ US$7.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

20% = 15亿美元 ÷ 75亿美元(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.20.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。因此,这意味着公司每投资1美元,就会产生0.20美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Garmin's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

Garmin的收益增长和20%的投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, Garmin seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 15% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Garmin's moderate 7.5% net income growth seen over the past five years.

乍一看,Garmin的投资回报率似乎不错。特别是与行业平均水平的15%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。这可能为Garmin在过去五年中实现7.5%的温和净收入增长奠定了基础。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Garmin's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 19% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长进行比较时,我们发现Garmin报告的增长低于过去几年19%的行业增长,这不是我们希望看到的。

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NYSE:GRMN Past Earnings Growth December 1st 2024
纽约证券交易所:GRMN过去的收益增长 2024年12月1日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Garmin fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。与其他公司相比,Garmin的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Garmin Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Garmin是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Garmin has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 53%, meaning that it is left with only 47% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Garmin的三年派息率中位数很高,为53%,这意味着它只剩下47%可以再投资其业务。这意味着尽管将大部分利润返还给了股东,但该公司仍能够实现可观的收益增长。

Additionally, Garmin has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 35% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the lower expected payout ratio.

此外,Garmin在至少十年的时间内支付了股息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享利润。现有的分析师估计表明,该公司未来的派息率预计将在未来三年降至35%。但是,尽管预期的派息率较低,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Garmin certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Its earnings growth is decent, and the high ROE does contribute to that growth. However, investors could have benefitted even more from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们认为Garmin确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。其收益增长不错,高投资回报率确实促进了这种增长。但是,如果该公司将更多的收益再投资,投资者本可以从高投资回报率中受益更多。在研究分析师当前的估计时,我们发现分析师预计该公司将继续保持最近的增长势头。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份免费的分析师预测报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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