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Investors in People's Insurance Company (Group) of China (HKG:1339) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 98% Over the Past Three Years

Investors in People's Insurance Company (Group) of China (HKG:1339) Have Seen Respectable Returns of 98% Over the Past Three Years

中国人民保险集团(adr)的投资者在过去三年中获得了98%的可观收益。
Simply Wall St ·  12/02 08:14

By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited (HKG:1339) shareholders have seen the share price rise 60% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (15%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 61% in the last year, including dividends.

通过购买指数基金,投资者可以接近市场的平均回报。但如果您能够挑选出优秀的个股,您可能会获得更高的回报。例如,中国人民保险集团有限公司(HKG:1339)的股东在过去三年里,股价上涨了60%,远高于市场的下跌(15%,不包括分红派息)。然而,最近的回报并没有如此令人印象深刻,过去一年,包括分红派息在内的股票回报仅为61%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在值得更详细地了解该公司的基本面,因为这将帮助我们判断长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

在他的文章《格雷厄姆和道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映公司价值的方式。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方式是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

People's Insurance Company (Group) of China was able to grow its EPS at 20% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We note that the 17% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Quite to the contrary, the share price has arguably reflected the EPS growth.

中国人民保险公司(集团)在过去三年中每年能够以20%的速度增长其每股收益,这推动了股价上涨。我们注意到,17%的年度(平均)股价增长与每股收益增长率相差不远。这是巧合吗?可能不是。这表明市场情绪和预期没有发生剧烈变化。相反,股价在某种程度上反映了每股收益的增长。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。

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SEHK:1339 Earnings Per Share Growth December 2nd 2024
港交所:1339 每股收益增长,2024年12月2日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on People's Insurance Company (Group) of China's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。监测首席执行官的薪酬固然重要,但更重要的问题是公司是否能够在未来几年内增长盈利。如果您想进一步调查股票,这份关于中国人民保险公司(集团)的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的开始。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of People's Insurance Company (Group) of China, it has a TSR of 98% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但TSR包括分红的价值(假设其被再投资)以及任何折扣资本募集或分拆的收益。可以说,TSR提供了一个更全面的股票回报图景。在中国人民保险公司(集团)的案例中,过去三年的TSR为98%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上得益于其分红支付!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

It's nice to see that People's Insurance Company (Group) of China shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 61% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 11%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand People's Insurance Company (Group) of China better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with People's Insurance Company (Group) of China (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

欣慰的是,中国人民保险公司(集团)股东在过去一年获得了61%的总股东回报。这包括分红。这个收益优于过去五年的年均TSR,即11%。因此,似乎公司周围的情绪最近一直是积极的。考虑到股价势头仍然强劲,仔细看看该股票可能是值得的,以免错过机会。 跟踪股价的长期表现总是令人感兴趣的。但要更好地理解中国人民保险公司(集团),我们需要考虑许多其他因素。因此,您应该了解我们发现的中国人民保险公司(集团)的两个警告信号(包括一个有些令人担忧的)。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引述的市场回报率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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