Despite an already strong run, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603499) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 210% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Packaging industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. Revenue has also lifted 29% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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