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We're Not Very Worried About Pharvaris' (NASDAQ:PHVS) Cash Burn Rate

We're Not Very Worried About Pharvaris' (NASDAQ:PHVS) Cash Burn Rate

我们不太担心Pharvaris(纳斯达克:PHVS)的现金流失速度
Simply Wall St ·  12/02 20:34

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

即使企业亏钱,如果股东以正确的价格购买一家优秀的企业,则有可能获利。举例来说,生物科技和采矿勘探公司通常会连续数年亏损,之后才通过新疗法或矿物发现获得成功。但尽管历史记录了这些少数成功的案例,失败的案例往往被遗忘;谁还记得Pets.com?

So, the natural question for Pharvaris (NASDAQ:PHVS) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

因此,对于Pharvaris(纳斯达克:PHVS)的股东来说,自然会问,是否应该担心其现金消耗率。在本报告中,我们将考虑公司的年度负自由现金流,以下简称为“现金消耗”。我们将首先通过将其现金消耗与现金储备进行比较,来计算其现金储备期。

Does Pharvaris Have A Long Cash Runway?

Pharvaris是否拥有长时间的现金储备期?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Pharvaris last reported its September 2024 balance sheet in November 2024, it had zero debt and cash worth €305m. Importantly, its cash burn was €109m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.8 years as of September 2024. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

现金储备期被定义为公司如果继续以当前现金消耗率花费,耗尽资金所需的时间。当Pharvaris在2024年11月最后一次报告其2024年9月的资产负债表时,它没有债务,现金价值为€30500万。重要的是,它在过去十二个月的现金消耗为€10900万。这意味着截至2024年9月,其现金储备期约为2.8年。可以说,这是一段审慎且合理的储备期。下图显示了其现金余额在过去几年的变化。

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NasdaqGS:PHVS Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2024
纳斯达克GS:PHVS 债务对股本历史 2024年12月2日

How Is Pharvaris' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Pharvaris的现金消耗如何随时间变化?

Because Pharvaris isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. With the cash burn rate up 22% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

由于Pharvaris当前没有产生营业收入,我们将其视为初创业务。因此,虽然我们不能通过销售来理解增长,但我们可以观察现金消耗的变化,以了解支出随时间的趋势。由于过去一年现金消耗率上升了22%,这似乎表明公司逐渐加大了对业务的投资。然而,如果支出持续增加,公司的实际现金储备期将比上述建议的更短。虽然过去的情况总是值得研究,但未来才是最重要的。因此,您可能希望了解公司预计在未来几年内的增长情况。

How Easily Can Pharvaris Raise Cash?

Pharvaris筹集现金有多简单?

While Pharvaris does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

虽然Pharvaris确实有稳健的现金流,但其现金消耗轨迹可能让一些股东考虑公司未来何时需要再筹集现金。一般来说,上市公司可以通过发行股票或承担债务来筹集新现金。上市公司的主要优势之一是可以向投资者出售股票以筹集现金并资助增长。我们可以将公司的现金消耗与其市值进行比较,以了解公司需要发行多少新股来资助一年的运营。

Pharvaris has a market capitalisation of €1.1b and burnt through €109m last year, which is 9.7% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

Pharvaris的市值为€11亿,去年消耗了€10900万,占公司市值的9.7%。鉴于这一比例相对较小,公司通过向投资者发行一些新股或甚至借款来资助再一年的增长可能非常简单。

How Risky Is Pharvaris' Cash Burn Situation?

Pharvaris的现金消耗情况有多危险?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Pharvaris is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Pharvaris (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

您可能已经注意到,我们对Pharvaris消耗现金的方式相对感到舒适。尤其是,我们认为其现金流的可持续性凸显出公司对支出的掌控情况。尽管其不断增长的现金消耗确实让我们有所警惕,但我们在本文讨论的其他指标总体上形成了一个积极的图景。在考虑到本文所提到的各种指标后,我们对公司支出现金的方式感到相当满意,因为它似乎有望在中期内满足其需求。此外,我们还关注公司面临的不同风险,并发现Pharvaris有3个预警信号(其中1个是重要的!)您应该了解。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

当然,您可能会在其他地方寻找到一个出色的投资机会。因此,瞥一眼这个有趣公司的免费名单,和这个股票成长股的(根据分析师预测)。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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