Those Who Invested in EBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) Five Years Ago Are up 100%
Those Who Invested in EBay (NASDAQ:EBAY) Five Years Ago Are up 100%
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 83% over five years, which is below the market return. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 52% over the last year.
长期投资的主要目的在于赚钱。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它的增长超过市场平均水平。不过,eBay公司(纳斯达克:ebay)未能达到这一第二目标,五年来股价上涨了83%,低于市场回报。然而,最近的买家应该对过去一年52%的增长感到满意。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管一些人继续教授有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,并且投资者并不总是理性的。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价的变化情况,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度如何随着时间变化而变化。
During five years of share price growth, eBay achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 16% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 13% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.
在五年的股价增长中,ebay实现了每股收益(EPS)年复合增长率为16%。这一EPS增长比同期每年13%的股价增长更为显著。因此,市场似乎对这只股票的热情不是很高。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for eBay the TSR over the last 5 years was 100%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了测量股价回报,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR 是一种回报计算方法,它考虑到现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)和任何折扣融资和分拆的计算价值。可以说,TSR 提供了股票所产生回报的更全面的视图。我们注意到,对于 ebay,过去五年的 TSR 为 100%,这好于以上提到的股价回报。而且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这个差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that eBay has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 55% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 15%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for eBay you should know about.
很高兴看到 ebay 在过去十二个月中为股东提供了 55% 的总股东回报。当然,这包括分红。这个增幅好于五年期的年 TSR,即 15%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎积极。鉴于股价的动量仍然强劲,值得更仔细地关注这只股票,以免错过机会。在考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响时,还有其他因素更为重要。例如,风险。每家公司都有风险,我们发现 ebay 有一个您应该知道的警告信号。
But note: eBay may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:eBay可能不是最值得买入的股票。请查看这个免费的有趣公司名单,这些公司过去有盈利增长(并且未来也有增长预测)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。