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We Think DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300790) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300790) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我们认为东莞宇通光电科技有限公司(深交所代码:300790)在债务方面承担了一些风险。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/03 06:45

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300790) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人说波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过'波动性远非与风险同义。' 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们可以看到,宇瞳光学有限公司(SZSE:300790)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,这些债务对股东来说是个问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

通常情况下,当公司无法通过筹资或自有现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能什么也得不到。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司需要以低廉的股价稀释股东,以控制债务。但是,通过取代股权稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资于增长的企业的非常好的工具。在我们审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd Carry?

宇瞳光学有限公司背负多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥2.42b, up from CN¥1.90b in one year. However, it does have CN¥651.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.77b.

下图可点击查看更详细的信息,显示到2024年9月,宇瞳光学有限公司的债务为24.2亿人民币,比一年前的19亿人民币有所增加。然而,它有65190万人民币的现金抵消这些债务,因此净债务约为17.7亿人民币。

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SZSE:300790 Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2024
SZSE:300790 股债历史 2024年12月2日

How Strong Is DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.16b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.04b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥651.9m and CN¥924.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司有CN¥21.6亿的负债将在12个月内到期,还有CN¥10.4亿的负债在以后到期。 另一方面,它有CN¥65190万的现金和CN¥92400万的应收账款将在一年内到期。 因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多CN¥16.2亿。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥6.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

尽管这看起来很多,但并不算太糟,因为东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司的市值为CN¥62.8亿,因此如果需要,它可能通过融资来增强其资产负债表。 不过,仔细研究其偿债能力仍然是值得的。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。

DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.4 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 139%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司的债务与EBITDA比率为4.0,其EBIT覆盖利息支出3.4倍。这表明尽管债务水平很高,但我们不会称其为问题。 然而,股东们回想东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司实际上在过去12个月中EBIT增长了139%,这应该会让他们感到一些安慰。 如果它能够继续走这条路,那么将债务减轻将相对容易。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了有关债务的更多信息。但是最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定东莞宇瞳光学科技有限公司能否随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。 因此,如果想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最终,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。所以我们显然需要查看EBIT是否带来了相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,宇瞳光学有限公司的自由现金流总计出现了明显的负值。虽然这可能是由于增长支出造成的,但这确实使得债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. We think that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

宇瞳光学有限公司的EBIT到自由现金流的转化以及净债务与EBITDA的关系对其影响确实较大。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松地增长EBIT。我们认为,考虑上述数据点后,宇瞳光学有限公司的债务确实让人感觉有些风险。并不是所有风险都是坏事,因为如果能够偿还,这可以提升股票价格回报,但这种债务风险值得我们保持关注。毫无疑问,我们最了解的债务来自于资产负债表。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现宇瞳光学有限公司有3个警告信号(其中1个可能是严重的!),您在这里投资之前应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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