Despite an already strong run, Fujian Sanmu Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000632) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.8% over the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Fujian Sanmu Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Trade Distributors industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.9x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Fujian Sanmu Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Fujian Sanmu Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Fujian Sanmu Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Sanmu Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Fujian Sanmu Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 29% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Fujian Sanmu Group's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Final Word
Fujian Sanmu Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Fujian Sanmu Group confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Fujian Sanmu Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Fujian Sanmu Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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