share_log

Chengdu Leejun Industrial (SZSE:002651) Investors Are up 5.4% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

Chengdu Leejun Industrial (SZSE:002651) Investors Are up 5.4% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years

利君股份 (SZSE:002651) 的投资者在过去一周上涨了5.4%,但过去五年的收益却在下降
Simply Wall St ·  12/02 18:45

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002651) shareholders have enjoyed a 59% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 18% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 4.1%, including dividends.

一般来说,积极选股的目的是找到提供超过市场平均水平回报的公司。根据我们的经验,买对股票可以显著增加财富。例如,长期持有成都利君股份股份有限公司(SZSE:002651)的股东在过去五年中享受了59%的股价上涨,远远超过市场回报率左右的18%(不包括分红)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,股东仅获得了4.1%的回报,包括分红。

Since it's been a strong week for Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于成都利君股份股东上周表现强势,让我们来看一下长期基本面的趋势。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

During five years of share price growth, Chengdu Leejun Industrial actually saw its EPS drop 34% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,成都利君股份的每股收益实际上每年下降了34%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

实际上,投资者似乎并没有关注EPS。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。

We doubt the modest 0.6% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 7.8% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Chengdu Leejun Industrial is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

我们怀疑%0.6的微薄股息率并没有吸引很多买家购买该股。相反,每年%7.8的营业收入增长可能被视为利君股份正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,公司可能正在牺牲当前每股收益来推动增长。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。

big
SZSE:002651 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 2nd 2024
SZSE:002651公司盈利和营收增长2024年12月2日

Take a more thorough look at Chengdu Leejun Industrial's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

查看利君股份财务健康的更全面报告,请查看其资产负债表的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Chengdu Leejun Industrial, it has a TSR of 67% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要考虑总股东回报以及股价回报。对于任何给定的股票,股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价的融资或拆股的好处。因此,对于支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。利君股份在过去5年中TSR达67%,超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders gained a total return of 4.1% during the year. But that was short of the market average. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 11% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Chengdu Leejun Industrial (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

利君股份的股东在一年内获得了总回报率为4.1%。不过这还未达到市场平均水平。公司拥有更好的长期历史记录可能是一个好迹象,过去五年为股东提供的年均回报率为11%。也许股价只是在业务执行增长策略时稍事休整。我发现长期来看股价作为业务绩效代理的表现非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了利君股份的四个警示信号(其中一个值得关注!)在你投资之前你应该知道。

We will like Chengdu Leejun Industrial better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重要内部人士的大量买入,我们会更喜欢利君股份。在等待的时候,请查看这份免费的低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),这些股票最近有相当多内部人士的买入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发