Is Hanwei Electronics Group (SZSE:300007) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Hanwei Electronics Group (SZSE:300007) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hanwei Electronics Group Corporation (SZSE:300007) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录在谈到投资风险时毫不隐瞒,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致灭顶之灾。我们可以看到,汉威科技(SZSE:300007)在业务中确实使用了债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务有助于一家企业,直到企业有困难偿还它,无论是用新资本还是使用自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,就会破产。然而,一个更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,只是为了控制债务。然而,通过减少稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是综合考虑其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Hanwei Electronics Group Carry?
汉威科技承载多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Hanwei Electronics Group had debt of CN¥1.07b, up from CN¥729.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥955.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥110.2m.
下面的图片(您可以单击以查看更详细信息)显示,截至2024年9月,汉威科技的债务为10.7亿元人民币,比一年前的72930万元人民币增加。 另一方面,它有95500万元现金,导致净债务约为11020万元人民币。
How Strong Is Hanwei Electronics Group's Balance Sheet?
汉威科技的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hanwei Electronics Group had liabilities of CN¥1.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.34b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥955.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.67b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥271.5m.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,汉威科技的一年内到期的负债为15.6亿人民币,而到期更长的负债为13.4亿人民币。 抵消这些债务的是,公司现金为9,5500万人民币,应收账款为12个月内到期的16.7亿人民币。 因此,其负债比现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多2,7150万人民币。
Given Hanwei Electronics Group has a market capitalization of CN¥6.46b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
考虑到汉威科技的市值为64.6亿人民币,很难相信这些负债构成了多大威胁。 但我们认为值得密切关注其资产负债表的强度,因为随着时间的推移,情况可能会发生变化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过查看净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比以及计算其利息支出由收益前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖的程度来度量一家公司的债务负载相对于其收益能力的程度。此方法的优点在于我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(以净债务为EBITDA)以及与该债务相关的实际利息支出(以其利息覆盖倍数计算)。
Hanwei Electronics Group has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.66 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.56 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Hanwei Electronics Group's EBIT was down 87% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hanwei Electronics Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
汉威科技的净债务占EBITDA比率非常低,为0.66,因此发现利息覆盖率不足是很奇怪的,去年的EBIT仅为利息支出的0.56倍。 因此,毫无疑问,债务水平并不是微不足道的。 股东应意识到,去年汉威科技的EBIT下降了87%。 如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,那偿还债务将像把猫赶上过山车一样困难。 无疑,我们最多从资产负债表中了解债务的情况。 但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定汉威科技是否能随着时间强化其资产负债表。 因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中展示了分析师的盈利预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hanwei Electronics Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸面利润偿还债务; 它需要现金。 因此,值得检查那些EBIT有多少是由自由现金流支持的。 在过去三年里,汉威科技烧掉了大量现金。 虽然这可能是用于增长支出,但这确实使得债务变得更加风险。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, Hanwei Electronics Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Hanwei Electronics Group's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hanwei Electronics Group that you should be aware of.
乍一看,汉威科技将EBIT转化为自由现金流的表现使我们对该股持谨慎态度,其EBIT增长率并没有比一年中最繁忙夜晚上的一家空无一人的餐厅更具吸引力。但至少在管理债务方面表现相当不错,基于其EBITDA来看;这令人鼓舞。从更大的角度来看,我们认为汉威科技利用债务为公司制造了风险。如果一切顺利,这将提高回报,但另一方面,债务带来的永久性资本损失风险也在升高。毫无疑问,我们对债务了解最多来自资产负债表。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——相反。例如,我们已经发现汉威科技存在2个值得关注的预警信号,请您务必注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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