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Investors More Bullish on Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP) This Week as Stock Advances 4.0%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year

Investors More Bullish on Fresh Del Monte Produce (NYSE:FDP) This Week as Stock Advances 4.0%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Year

本周投资者对戴尔蒙特新鲜制造(NYSE:FDP)更看好,股价上涨4.0%,尽管过去一年盈利趋势下降
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/03 03:02

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. (NYSE:FDP) share price is 47% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 32% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! And shareholders have also done well over the long term, with an increase of 34% in the last three years.

被动投资于指数基金可以产生大致与整体市场相匹配的回报。但是,通过选择优于平均水平的股票(作为多元化投资组合的一部分),可以获得更好的回报。例如,戴尔蒙特新鲜制造公司(纽交所:FDP)的股价比一年前高出47%,远远超过同期市场回报的约32%(不包括分红派息)。这在我们的标准下是个不错的表现!而且股东们在长期内的表现也很好,过去三年增长了34%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市场有时候是有效的,但价格并不总是反映公司的基本业务表现。通过比较每股收益和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的看法如何随着时间变化而变化。

Fresh Del Monte Produce went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.

在过去一年中,戴尔蒙特新鲜制造公司的经营从亏损转为盈利。

When a company is just on the edge of profitability it can be well worth considering other metrics in order to more precisely gauge growth (and therefore understand share price movements).

当一家公司处于盈亏边缘时,考虑其他指标以更精确地衡量增长(从而了解股价走势)是非常值得的。

Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.

营业收入去年同比基本持平,但可能进一步分析数据可以解释市场的乐观情绪。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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NYSE:FDP Earnings and Revenue Growth December 3rd 2024
纽交所:FDP2024年12月的每股收益和营业收入增长

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Fresh Del Monte Produce in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

我们很高兴内部人士在过去十二个月中买入了股票。尽管如此,未来的盈利对于当前股东是否能够获利将更加重要。您可以在这个互动图表中查看分析师对戴尔蒙特新鲜制造未来利润预测的预测。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Fresh Del Monte Produce's TSR for the last 1 year was 52%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设进行再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或拆分带来的收益。可以说,TSR提供了股票所产生回报的更全面的图景。实际上,戴尔蒙特新鲜制造过去一年TSR为52%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。而且,毫无疑问,分红派息在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

It's nice to see that Fresh Del Monte Produce shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 52% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 3% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fresh Del Monte Produce better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fresh Del Monte Produce , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到戴尔蒙特新鲜制造的股东在过去一年中获得了52%的总股东回报。当然,这其中包括了分红派息。这比过去五年年化回报的3%要好,暗示着公司最近的表现更佳。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近的总股东回报改善视为表明业务随着时间的推移在不断改善。长期跟踪股票价格表现总是很有趣。但为了更好地了解戴尔蒙特新鲜制造,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的潜在威胁。我们已经识别出戴尔蒙特新鲜制造的三个警告信号,理解这些信号应该是您投资过程的一部分。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他的公司,公司的内部人士正在购买股票。你可能不想错过这个免费的小市值公司的低估列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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