Is Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) A Risky Investment?
Is Ecovyst (NYSE:ECVT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE:ECVT) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李路(查理·芒格支持的)曾表示:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。' 所以,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能很明显,因为过多的债务可能会使一家公司陷入困境。重要的是,Ecovyst Inc.(纽交所:ECVT)确实承担了债务。但真正的问题是这项债务是否使公司变得风险较大。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么它就处于贷方的掌控之下。如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能与无所得的情况下离开。然而,一个更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低于市场价的价格发行股票,以永久性稀释股东,以巩固其资产负债表。透过这种行为,债务可以成为需要高回报投资的企业获得资本的极好工具。考虑企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是查看企业的现金和债务的数额。
How Much Debt Does Ecovyst Carry?
Ecovyst的债务有多少?
As you can see below, Ecovyst had US$866.0m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$129.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$736.3m.
正如您在下面看到的,Ecovyst在2024年9月的债务为86600万美元,和前一年差不多。您可以点击图表获取更详细的信息。然而,由于它有12970万美元的现金储备,其净债务减少到大约73630万美元。
How Strong Is Ecovyst's Balance Sheet?
Ecovyst的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ecovyst had liabilities of US$111.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$998.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$129.7m and US$76.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$904.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,Ecovyst有到期于一年内的负债为11180万美元,以及到期于之后的负债为99880万美元。另一方面,它有现金为12970万美元和到期于一年内的应收款为7680万美元。因此,其负债总额比现金和近期应收款总和多出90420万美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$926.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Ecovyst's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
相较于其92630万美元的市值,这一赤字是相当可观的,因此确实暗示了股东应关注Ecovyst的债务使用。这意味着如果公司需要迅速改善其资产负债表,股东可能会被严重稀释。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
为了衡量公司债务相对于其收入的规模,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税收、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),并计算其利息前税利润(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对金额,以及支付的利率。
While Ecovyst's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.1, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even more troubling is the fact that Ecovyst actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.1% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ecovyst can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
虽然Ecovyst的债务与EBITDA的比率(3.9)表明它使用了一些债务,但其利息覆盖率非常疲弱,仅为2.1,这表明杠杆率很高。因此,股东可能应该意识到,利息支出似乎最近真的对业务产生了影响。更令人担忧的是,Ecovyst的EBIT实际上在过去一年中下降了8.1%。如果继续这样下去,偿还债务就像在跑步机上奔跑——付出很多努力却没有什么进展。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了大部分关于债务的知识。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定Ecovyst是否能随着时间的推移强化其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,展示分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ecovyst generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但我们最后的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上利润来还债;它需要寒冰现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是查看EBIT中有多少比例与实际自由现金流相匹配。在过去三年中,Ecovyst生成的自由现金流达到其EBIT的非常强劲的89%,这超出了我们的预期。这使得它在理想情况下能够偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
We'd go so far as to say Ecovyst's interest cover was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Ecovyst stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ecovyst is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我们可以说,Ecovyst的利息覆盖率让人失望。 但是,至少它在将EBIT转换为自由现金流方面表现还不错;这让人感到鼓舞。 考虑到资产负债表和所有这些因素,我们确实认为债务让Ecovyst的股票有些风险。 有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们要意识到潜在的陷阱,所以我们可能更希望它承载更少的债务。 毫无疑问,我们通过资产负债表了解了大多数债务。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。 请注意,Ecovyst在我们的投资分析中显示出1个警告信号,你应该知道...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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