JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301083) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.8% isn't as impressive.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 7.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology Has Been Performing
For example, consider that JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 25% overall from three years ago. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology's P/S?
Shares in JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for JiangXi BaiSheng Intelligent Technology (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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