Montauk Renewables, Inc. (NASDAQ:MNTK) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may still consider Montauk Renewables as a stock to potentially avoid with its 25.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Montauk Renewables as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Montauk Renewables.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Montauk Renewables' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 42% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 2.9% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Montauk Renewables' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Despite the recent share price weakness, Montauk Renewables' P/E remains higher than most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Montauk Renewables' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Montauk Renewables with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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