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Guoanda Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300902) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

Guoanda Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300902) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

国安达股份有限公司(SZSE:300902)的股价强势上涨,但基本面看起来疲弱:这可能对股票有什么影响?
Simply Wall St ·  12/05 06:55

Guoanda (SZSE:300902) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Guoanda's ROE.

国安达(深交所:300902)在股票市场上表现出色,过去三个月,其股票上涨了23%。然而,在这篇文章中,我们决定关注其薄弱的基本面,因为企业的长期财务表现最终决定市场结果。在这篇文章中,我们决定关注国安达的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

净资产收益率(roe)是衡量公司经营管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换言之,它是一种利润率,衡量由公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算净资产收益率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guoanda is:

因此,根据上述公式,国安达的roe为:

1.9% = CN¥16m ÷ CN¥847m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

1.9% = CN¥1600万 ÷ CN¥84700万(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报”是税后收益的总额过去十二个月。 可以这样概括,即对于每个股东的每个人民币1元,该公司获得了0.02元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经知道ROE测量公司如何高效地生成利润。基于公司选择重新投资或“保留”其利润的比例,我们能够评估公司未来生成利润的能力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,则ROE和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率也越高,与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of Guoanda's Earnings Growth And 1.9% ROE

Guoanda的盈利增长与1.9% roe的对比

As you can see, Guoanda's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Guoanda over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

正如你所看到的,Guoanda的roe看起来相当弱。 不仅如此,甚至与行业平均水平6.3%相比,该公司的roe完全平淡。 鉴于这种情况,Guoanda在过去五年中净利润下降26%并不令人惊讶。 但是,也可能还有其他因素导致盈利下降。 例如,业务资本配置不当,或者公司的分红派息比例非常高。

However, when we compared Guoanda's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将Guoanda的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管公司的盈利在缩水,但行业在同一时期实现了3.9%的盈利增长。这令人相当担忧。

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SZSE:300902 Past Earnings Growth December 4th 2024
SZSE:300902 过去的盈利增长2024年12月4日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Guoanda's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者需要了解市场是否考虑了公司的预期盈利增长(或下降)。这有助于他们判断股票是朝着光明还是暗淡的未来发展。如果你想知道Guoanda的估值,可以查看其市盈率与所在行业的对比。

Is Guoanda Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Guoanda是否有效利用其留存收益?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 85% (implying that 15% of the profits are retained), most of Guoanda's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Guoanda visit our risks dashboard for free.

Guoanda的三年中位数派息率高达85%(意味着15%的利润被留存),这表明大部分利润都被支付给了股东,这也解释了公司盈利的减少。由于只有少量被再投资到业务中,盈利增长显然会很低或者根本不存在。要了解我们为Guoanda识别的三个风险,可以免费访问我们的风险仪表。

Additionally, Guoanda has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,Guoanda在四年内支付了分红,这意味着公司的管理层相当重视保持分红支付,尽管盈利在不断减少。

Summary

总结

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Guoanda. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Guoanda's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总体而言,在对国安做出任何决策之前,我们会非常谨慎。因为公司没有在业务上再投资太多,而且考虑到低roe,看到其盈利缺乏或没有增长也就不足为奇。到目前为止,我们只对公司的增长数据进行了简短的研究。要进一步了解国安过去的利润增长,请查看这张关于过去盈利、营业收入和现金流的可视化图。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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