DHC Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002065) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
DHC Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002065) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
DHC SoftwareLtd (SZSE:002065) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 79% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE in this article.
DHC SoftwareLTD(深圳证券交易所:002065)在股票市场上表现良好,其股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了79%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究DHC SoftwareLTD的投资回报率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股本回报率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for DHC SoftwareLtd is:
因此,根据上述公式,DHC SoftwareLTD的投资回报率为:
2.9% = CN¥353m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
2.9% = 35300万元人民币 ÷ 120元人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.
“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。因此,这意味着该公司每投资1元人民币,就会产生0.03元人民币的利润。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。
DHC SoftwareLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.9% ROE
DHC SoftwareLtd的收益增长和2.9%的投资回报率
It is quite clear that DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 4.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 14% seen by DHC SoftwareLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
很明显,DHC SoftwareLTD的投资回报率相当低。即使与4.6%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。因此,说DHC SoftwareLTD五年净收入下降14%可能是其投资回报率下降的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。
However, when we compared DHC SoftwareLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
但是,当我们将DHC SoftwareLTD的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但该行业同期的收益增长了2.5%。这非常令人担忧。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is DHC SoftwareLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。与其他公司相比,DHC SoftwareLtd的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。
Is DHC SoftwareLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
DHC SoftwareLtd是否在有效使用其留存收益?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 38% (where it is retaining 62% of its profits), DHC SoftwareLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
尽管DHC SoftwareLTD的三年派息率中位数为38%(保留了62%的利润),但正如我们在上面看到的那样,DHC SoftwareLTD的收益却有所下降。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。
Additionally, DHC SoftwareLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.
此外,DHC SoftwareLTD已在至少十年内派发了股息,这意味着即使收益增长微乎其微,公司的管理层也决心支付股息。
Summary
摘要
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by DHC SoftwareLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for DHC SoftwareLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
总的来说,我们认为DHC SoftwareLTD所表现出的表现可以有多种解释。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以通过我们的平台免费访问我们的风险控制面板,查看我们为DHC SoftwareLTD确定的3种风险。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。