These 4 Measures Indicate That Luyin Investment GroupLtd (SHSE:600784) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Luyin Investment GroupLtd (SHSE:600784) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Luyin Investment Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600784) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
巴菲特的搭档、利润投资管理公司的李录(Charlie Munger)明确表示,“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。” 当你考虑一家公司的风险程度时,自然会关注其资产负债表,因为企业倒闭时往往涉及债务。我们可以看到,鲁银投资集团有限公司(SHSE:600784)的业务确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否会使公司变得更加风险化。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以为企业提供帮助,直到企业无法通过新资本或者自由现金流偿还为止。最坏的情况下,如果企业无法付清债权人,公司可能会破产。然而,在更为普遍但仍然代价高昂的情况下,公司必须以折价的价格发行股票,从而永久稀释股东权益,以解决资产负债表问题。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,特别是对于资本密集型企业而言。当考虑企业使用债务时,我们首先会关注现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Luyin Investment GroupLtd's Debt?
鲁银投资集团有限公司的债务是多少?
As you can see below, Luyin Investment GroupLtd had CN¥1.27b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥1.39b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥341.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥931.3m.
正如您下面所看到的,截至2024年9月,鲁银投资集团的债务为12.7亿人民币,低于前一年的13.9亿人民币。另一方面,它有34140万元的现金,净债务约为93130万元。
How Strong Is Luyin Investment GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
鲁银投资集团有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Luyin Investment GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.34b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥714.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥341.4m and CN¥748.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥970.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,鲁银投资集团有限公司有一年内到期的负债13.4亿人民币,以及之后要到期的71490万元的负债。 另一方面,它有34140万元和74810万元的现金和一年内到期的应收账款。 因此,其负债总计为97040万元,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Luyin Investment GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.47b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
虽然这看起来很多,但鲁银投资集团有限公司的市值为44.7亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,可能通过增加资本来加强其资产负债表。 但很明显,我们绝对应该仔细检查它是否能够管理债务而不会发生股权稀释。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。
We'd say that Luyin Investment GroupLtd's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.7), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 132 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is just as well that Luyin Investment GroupLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 23% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Luyin Investment GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
我们认为鲁银投资集团有限公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率(为1.7)表明在处理债务方面很谨慎。 其每次利息支出的EBIT是其利息费用的132倍,意味着负债负担像孔雀羽毛一样轻。 很幸运的是,因为去年鲁银投资集团有限公司的EBIT下降了23%,其负担并不太重。 当一家公司看到其收入下滑时,有时会发现与债权人的关系变得糟糕。 毫无疑问,我们可以从资产负债表上了解更多关于债务的信息。 但鲁银投资集团有限公司的收益将影响资产负债表在未来的表现。 因此,在考虑债务时,审查收益趋势绝对是值得的。 点击这里查看互动快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Luyin Investment GroupLtd created free cash flow amounting to 8.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
最后,一家企业需要有自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。 因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是查看EBIT的比例是否能由实际的自由现金流匹配。 在过去的三年中,鲁银投资集团有限公司创造的自由现金流金额相当于其EBIT的8.9%,表现平平。 这种较低水平的现金转化削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。
Our View
我们的观点
Luyin Investment GroupLtd's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Luyin Investment GroupLtd is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Luyin Investment GroupLtd you should know about.
鲁银投资集团有限公司的EBIt增长率和转换为自由现金流的能力确实给予了它一定的压力,但好消息是它似乎能够轻松用EBIt覆盖利息支出。当我们考虑所有讨论过的因素时,我们认为鲁银投资集团有限公司在债务使用方面存在一定风险。因此,虽然杠杆确实会提高股权回报率,但我们真的不希望看到它从这里增加。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的区域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 相反。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们已经发现了鲁银投资集团有限公司的一个警示信号,您应该知道。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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