To the annoyance of some shareholders, Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) shares are down a considerable 33% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.
After such a large drop in price, Sunrun may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Sunrun Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Sunrun's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Sunrun's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Sunrun's Revenue Growth Trending?
Sunrun's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 36% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 26% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Sunrun's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
The southerly movements of Sunrun's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Sunrun's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Sunrun (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sunrun's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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