Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's shares before the 10th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of December.
周大福珠宝集团有限公司 (HKG:1929) 将在接下来的四天内开始除息。除息日是在公司记录日期之前的一个工作日,记录日期是公司确定哪些股东有权获得分红的日期。除息日是一个重要的日期,因为在此日期或之后购买股票可能意味着由于结算延迟,无法在记录日期显示。因此,您需要在12月10日之前购买周大福珠宝集团的股票,以便获得将在12月24日支付的分红。
The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.20 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$0.55 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a trailing yield of approximately 7.9% on its current stock price of HK$6.99. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.
该公司下一个分红支付将为每股港币0.20,基于去年该公司向股东支付的总额为港币0.55。观察过去12个月的分配,周大福珠宝集团的当前股价为港币6.99,收益率约为7.9%。分红是许多股东的重要收入来源,但公司的健康状况对维持这些分红至关重要。因此,我们需要检查分红支付是否得到保障,以及盈利是否在增长。
Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group distributed an unsustainably high 112% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out 88% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.
分红通常来自公司的收入,因此如果公司支付的分红超过其收入,分红通常面临被削减的更高风险。周大福珠宝集团去年向股东分配的分红占其利润的112%,这个比例不可持续。如果没有更可持续的支付行为,分红情况看起来就很不稳固。一个有用的辅助检查是评估周大福珠宝集团是否生成足够的自由现金流来支付其分红。它将88%的自由现金流用于分红,这在正常范围内,但如果没有增长将限制公司提高分红的能力。
It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.
看到分红未由利润覆盖令人失望,但从分红可持续性的角度来看,现金更为重要,幸运的是周大福珠宝集团生成了足够的现金来资助其分红。如果高管继续支付的分红超过公司报告的利润,我们会将此视为一个警告信号。很少有公司能够持续支付超过其报告利润的分红。
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
点击此处查看公司的支付比率以及未来分红的分析师预期。
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
收益和股息一直在增长吗?
Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. It's not encouraging to see that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's earnings are effectively flat over the past five years. It's better than seeing them drop, certainly, but over the long term, all of the best dividend stocks are able to meaningfully grow their earnings per share.
收益平稳的股票仍然可以吸引分红派息,但在分红的可持续性方面,采取更为保守的策略并要求更大的安全边际是很重要的。如果业务进入低迷状态并削减分红,公司可能会看到其价值急剧下降。看到周大福珠宝集团在过去五年里的收益基本持平并不令人鼓舞。比起收益下降,这当然要好得多,但从长远来看,所有优秀的分红股票都能够显著增长其每股收益。
Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has delivered an average of 3.8% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments.
衡量一个公司分红前景的另一个关键方法是测量其历史分红增长率。根据过去10年的分红支付,周大福珠宝集团的分红平均每年增长3.8%。
Final Takeaway
最后的结论
Has Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Earnings per share have been flat in recent times, which is, we suppose, better than seeing them shrink. Plus, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's paying out a high percentage of its earnings and more than half its cash flow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.
周大福珠宝集团能否维持其分红派息?每股收益近期持平,这比看到它们缩水要好。再加上,周大福珠宝集团支付的分红派息占其收益的高比例,并且超过了一半的自由现金流。总体来看,这似乎并不是适合长期持有投资者的最佳分红派息股票。
So if you're still interested in Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.
因此,如果您仍然对周大福珠宝集团感兴趣,尽管其分红派息质量不佳,您应该充分了解面对该股票的一些风险。为了帮助您,我们发现了周大福珠宝集团的3个警告信号,您在投资其股票之前应该了解这些警告。
A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.
一个常见的投资错误是购买你看到的第一个有趣的股票。在这里,您可以找到高股息股票的完整列表。
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