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These 4 Measures Indicate That WH Group (HKG:288) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That WH Group (HKG:288) Is Using Debt Extensively

这四项措施表明万洲国际(HKG:288)正在广泛使用债务
Simply Wall St ·  12/05 18:27

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, WH Group Limited (HKG:288) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李路(查理·芒格支持的人)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。' 因此,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会击沉一家公司。重要的是,万洲国际有限公司(HKG:288)确实有债务。但股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务在企业努力偿还时是有帮助的,无论是通过新资本还是自由现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以低价发行新股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。尽管如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并为自己谋取利益。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is WH Group's Debt?

万洲国际的债务是多少?

As you can see below, WH Group had US$3.37b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.40b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.98b.

正如您在下面看到的,万洲国际在2024年6月的债务为33.7亿美金,和去年大致相同。您可以点击图表以获取更详细的信息。然而,由于它有14亿美金的现金储备,其净债务更少,约为19.8亿美金。

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SEHK:288 Debt to Equity History December 5th 2024
SEHK:288 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月5日

A Look At WH Group's Liabilities

看看万洲国际的负债情况

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WH Group had liabilities of US$4.04b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.11b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.40b in cash and US$921.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.83b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最新的资产负债表上,我们可以看到万洲国际的负债为40.4亿美元,未来一年到期的负债为41.1亿美元。抵消这些负债的是它的现金为14亿美元,以及9200万美元的应收款,这些应收款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额达到58.3亿美元,超过了现金和短期应收款的总和。

This deficit isn't so bad because WH Group is worth a massive US$11.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为万洲国际的市值为116亿美元,因此如果需要,它可能能够筹集足够的资本来加强其资产负债表。但是,很明显,我们应该密切审视它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。

WH Group's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.7 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.7 times last year. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. Importantly, WH Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 75% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine WH Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

万洲国际的净债务大约是其EBITDA的1.7倍,而其EBIT去年的利息支出仅覆盖了4.7倍。看来该业务的折旧和摊销费用很大,因此其债务负担可能比最初看起来要重,因为EBITDA可以说是一个慷慨的收益指标。重要的是,万洲国际的EBIT在过去12个月内下降了惊人的75%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么还债将比在素食者大会上出售鹅肝更困难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。但是,未来的收益,尤其是将决定万洲国际未来能否维持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,可能会对这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告感兴趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, WH Group recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,虽然税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬的现金。因此,检查一下EBIT中有多少是由自由现金流支持的,还是值得的。在最近三年中,万洲国际的自由现金流占其EBIT的68%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税款。这笔冷硬的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

WH Group's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think WH Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with WH Group .

万洲国际在增加EBIT方面的挣扎让我们对其资产负债表的实力有所怀疑,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对令人振奋。特别是,它将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力令人振奋。综合上述因素,我们确实认为万洲国际的债务对其业务存在一些风险。因此,尽管杠杆确实提高了股本的回报,我们也不希望看到其进一步增加。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,您应该注意我们发现的万洲国际的两个警告信号。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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