Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) (SZSE:301303) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) (SZSE:301303) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd. (SZSE:301303) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会面临永久性的资本损失。' 所以,当你考虑某个股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会淹没一家公司。我们可以看到,Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) Ltd.(SZSE:301303)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松用自由现金流履行这些义务,或者以有吸引力的价格筹集资金时,债务和其他负债对企业就会变得风险。资本主义的一个重要组成部分就是“创造性破坏”的过程,即债务过大的企业会被银行无情清算。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司由于债权人迫使它们以低价筹集资金,从而永久性地稀释股东利益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并且对自身有利。在考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是查看其现金和债务情况。
What Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s Debt?
禅纳仪表科技(上海)的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) had CN¥324.7m of debt, up from CN¥36.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥570.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥245.3m.
正如你在下面看到的,到2024年9月底,Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) 的债务为32470万人民币,较一年前的3600万人民币有所增加。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。然而,它有57000万人民币的现金来对冲这些债务,从而导致净现金为24530万人民币。
How Healthy Is Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
Zenner计量科技(上海)的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥807.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥30.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥570.0m and CN¥1.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥957.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,Zenner计量科技(上海)的流动负债为80720万人民币,负债到期时间在12个月内,长期负债为3040万人民币。在另一方面,它持有57000万人民币的现金以及12.3亿人民币的应收账款,预计在一年内到期。因此,它的流动资产比总负债高出95790万人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种短期流动性表明,Zenner计量科技(上海)可能能够轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简单来说,Zenner计量科技(上海)拥有的现金超过债务,这无疑是其能够安全管理债务的良好迹象。
But the other side of the story is that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) saw its EBIT decline by 5.4% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
但故事的另一面是,Zenner计量科技(上海)过去一年EBIT下降了5.4%。如果收益继续以这种速度下降,公司可能会越来越难以管理其债务负担。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是首要考虑的地方。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Zenner计量科技(上海)需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,查看收益趋势绝对值得。点击这里查看交互式快照。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。Zenner计量科技(上海)在资产负债表上可能拥有净现金,但观察该业务将利息和税前收益(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,仍然很有趣,因为这会影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,Zenner计量科技(上海)消耗了大量现金。虽然投资者无疑期待这种情况在适当时候会有转机,但显然这意味着其债务使用更具风险。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) has net cash of CN¥245.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai)'s debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Zenner Metering Technology (Shanghai) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然我们理解投资者对债务的担忧,但您应该牢记,浙江燃气科技(上海)拥有净现金24530万港元,以及比负债更多的流动资产。因此,我们对浙江燃气科技(上海)的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上学到的有关债务的信息是最多的。然而,并非所有的投资风险都来自资产负债表 - 远非如此。我们发现浙江燃气科技(上海)存在2个警告信号,理解这些信号应该是您投资过程的一部分。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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