Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (SZSE:300712) Shareholders Notch a 21% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (SZSE:300712) Shareholders Notch a 21% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term Fujian Yongfu Power Engineering Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300712) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 153% in five years. On top of that, the share price is up 51% in about a quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 28% in 90 days).
当您购买公司股票时,值得记住这可能失败,您可能会失去资金。但好消息是,在一支真正优秀的股票上,您可以获得超过100%的回报。长期持有福建永福股份工程股份有限公司(SZSE:300712)的股东会意识到这一点,因为该股票在五年内上涨了153%。此外,股价在大约一个季度上涨了51%。但这种涨幅很可能受到相当乐观的市场的支持(在90天内上涨了28%)。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的话:“船只将周游世界,而‘地平派’仍会兴旺。市场上的价格和价值仍会存在广泛的差距……”考虑一家公司在市场上的认知如何变化的一个不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
During five years of share price growth, Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd actually saw its EPS drop 3.8% per year.
在五年的股价增长期间,福建永福股份工程有限公司实际上看到其每股收益每年下降3.8%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
通过浏览这些数字,我们可以推断每股收益下降并不代表业务在这些年里的变化。因此,值得看看其他指标以了解股票价格的变动。
The modest 0.4% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 15% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
谦和的0.4%股息率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,年均15%的营收增长可能被视为福建永福股份电力工程有限公司正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的利好。在这种情况下,该公司可能会牺牲当前每股收益以推动增长。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
你可以在这个免费的互动图表中看到它的资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而加强(或削弱)。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was 157%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价增发或剥离带来的好处。可以说,TSR给出了股票产生的回报更全面的图景。我们注意到,对于福建永福股份电力工程有限公司,过去5年的TSR为157%,优于上述提到的股价回报。而且毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd provided a TSR of 9.5% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. It has to be noted that the recent return falls short of the 21% shareholders have gained each year, over half a decade. Although the share price growth has slowed, the longer term story points to a business well worth watching. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Yongfu Power EngineeringLtd (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
福建永福电力工程股份有限公司在过去一年提供了9.5%的总收益率(包括分红)。这与更广泛的市场回报相当接近。必须注意到,最近的回报不及股东们每年获得的21%,在过去的五年中每年的回报。尽管股价增长放缓,但长期来看,这个企业仍然值得关注。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价的影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,要考虑投资风险的不断存在。我们识别出了福建永福电力工程股份有限公司的3个警告信号(至少有2个令人担忧的),了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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