Is Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY) A Risky Investment?
Is Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Tilray Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:TLRY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,蒂尔雷品牌公司(纳斯达克股票代码:TLRY)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东们可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Tilray Brands's Net Debt?
Tilray Brands 的净负债是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tilray Brands had US$322.1m of debt in August 2024, down from US$552.9m, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$280.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$42.1m.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示Tilray Brands在2024年8月的债务为3.221亿美元,低于一年前的5.529亿美元。另一方面,它拥有2.801亿美元的现金,净负债约为4,210万美元。
How Strong Is Tilray Brands' Balance Sheet?
Tilray Brands 的资产负债表有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tilray Brands had liabilities of US$293.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$484.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$280.1m in cash and US$104.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$394.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Tilray Brands的负债为2.935亿美元,一年后到期的负债为4.849亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有2.801亿美元的现金和1.04亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出3.944亿美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Tilray Brands is worth US$1.16b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tilray Brands's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
这种赤字还不错,因为Tilray Brands的市值为11.6亿美元,因此,如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但很明显,我们一定要仔细研究它能否在不稀释的情况下管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定Tilray Brands未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Over 12 months, Tilray Brands reported revenue of US$812m, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去的12个月中,Tilray Brands公布的收入为8.12亿美元,增长了25%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前收益。运气好的话,该公司将能够实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Even though Tilray Brands managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost US$97m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$82m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Tilray Brands , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管Tilray Brands成功地实现了收入增长,但冷酷的事实是,它在eBIT线上亏损。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了9700万美元。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流损失了8200万美元的负数。因此,只要说我们认为这只股票风险很高就足够了。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经确定了Tilray Brands的两个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。