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We Think Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为火神材料(纽交所:VMC)能够控制其债务。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/06 07:45

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:VMC) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他表示,与其担心股票价格波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性……我认识的每个实用投资者也都担心这个。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢关注它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。重要的是,火神材料公司(纽交所:VMC)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还债权人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到有负债的公司因为债权人迫使它们以低于市价的价格募集资本而不得不永久稀释股东权益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,公司合理地管理其债务,并处理得当,从而获得自己的利益。考虑企业的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑企业的现金和债务。

What Is Vulcan Materials's Net Debt?

火神材料的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Vulcan Materials had US$3.33b of debt at September 2024, down from US$3.87b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$433.2m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.90b.

正如您在下面看到的,火神材料在2024年9月的债务为33.3亿美元,较前一年的38.7亿美元有所下降。然而,由于它有43320万美元的现金储备,净债务较少,约为29亿美元。

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NYSE:VMC Debt to Equity History December 6th 2024
纽交所:VMC 债务与股本历史 2024年12月6日

A Look At Vulcan Materials' Liabilities

火神材料的负债情况概览

The latest balance sheet data shows that Vulcan Materials had liabilities of US$774.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.68b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$433.2m and US$1.02b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.01b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,火神材料在一年内有负债77410万美元,而在此之后的负债为56.8亿。不过,它拥有43320万美元的现金和10.2亿美元的应收账款。所以,它的负债总额比它的现金及短期应收账款多出50.1亿美元。

Since publicly traded Vulcan Materials shares are worth a very impressive total of US$37.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由于公开交易的火神材料股票总值为377亿美金,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但负债的确存在,因此我们建议股东们继续关注资产负债表的变化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。

With net debt sitting at just 1.5 times EBITDA, Vulcan Materials is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.8 times, which is more than adequate. Fortunately, Vulcan Materials grew its EBIT by 7.9% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vulcan Materials's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

火神材料的净债务仅为EBITDA的1.5倍,可以说杠杆相对保守。它的利息覆盖率为8.8倍,算是相当充足。幸运的是,火神材料在过去一年中EBIT增长了7.9%,这使得债务负担看起来更可控。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是开始的明显地方。但未来的收益,更多地将判断火神材料维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会觉得这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告值得关注。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Vulcan Materials produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务机构可能喜欢会计利润,但贷方只接受冷硬现金。因此,逻辑步骤是观察EBIT中实际自由现金流的比例。在过去三年中,火神材料产生了强劲的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的51%,这是我们所期待的。这一自由现金流使公司在适当的时候能够偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Vulcan Materials's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And its net debt to EBITDA is good too. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Vulcan Materials can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Vulcan Materials insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

火神材料的利息覆盖比率表明它能够像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多对抗14岁以下守门员那样轻松处理其债务。此外,它的净债务与EBITDA比率也很不错。综合考虑上述所有因素,我们认为火神材料能够相对轻松地处理其债务。当然,虽然这种杠杆可以提高股本回报,但它确实带来了更高的风险,因此值得关注。当然,如果我们知道火神材料的内部人士正在买入股票,这将给我们带来额外的信心:如果你有同样的想法,可以点击这个链接查看内部人士是否在买入。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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