Strong Week for Lingyuan Iron & Steel (SHSE:600231) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss
Strong Week for Lingyuan Iron & Steel (SHSE:600231) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Lingyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600231) share price has gained some 51% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 20% in that half decade.
毫无疑问,看到凌源钢铁有限公司(SHSE:600231)的股价在过去三个月上涨了约51%是个好消息。但这并不改变过去五年收益不尽人意的事实。在那五年内,买入一个指数基金会更好,因为该股票在这段时间内下跌了20%。
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
虽然过去一周股东的投资回报率有所缓解,但在过去五年中仍处于亏损状态,因此让我们看看这家公司的基本业务是否是导致下跌的原因。
Given that Lingyuan Iron & Steel didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
考虑到凌源钢铁在过去十二个月没有盈利,我们将重点关注营业收入增长,以便快速了解其业务发展。一般来说,没有利润的公司预计每年都会强劲增长营业收入。这是因为快速的营业收入增长可以轻松推断出利润,通常利润会相当可观。
Over half a decade Lingyuan Iron & Steel reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 1.2% for each year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. The stock hasn't done well for shareholders in the last five years, falling 4%, annualized. Unfortunately, though, it makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. Without profits, its hard to see how shareholders win if the revenue keeps falling.
在过去五年里,凌源钢铁的过去十二个月营业收入每年减少1.2%。虽然这远非灾难性,但也不好。过去五年,股票对股东的表现不佳,年均下降了4%。不幸的是,考虑到缺乏利润或营业收入增长,这种情况是可以理解的。在没有利润的情况下,营业收入持续下跌,这使得股东获利的希望渺茫。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那么,股东总回报(TSR)呢?
We've already covered Lingyuan Iron & Steel's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Lingyuan Iron & Steel's TSR of was a loss of 13% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.
我们已经讨论了凌源钢铁的股价波动,但我们还应该提到其总股东回报率(TSR)。可以说,TSR是一个更完整的回报计算,因为它考虑了分红的价值(如果被再投资的话),以及假设提供给股东的任何折扣资本的价值。凌源钢铁的TSR在5年内损失了13%。虽然这比其股价回报要好,因为它支付了分红。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
While the broader market gained around 11% in the last year, Lingyuan Iron & Steel shareholders lost 4.0%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Lingyuan Iron & Steel better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lingyuan Iron & Steel that you should be aware of before investing here.
在过去一年中,整体市场上涨了约11%,但凌源钢铁的股东损失了4.0%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在十二个月的时间内有时也会表现不佳。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中年化损失的2%还要差。我们意识到巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说过投资者应该“在街头有血时买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们购买的是高质量的业务。跟踪股价长期表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解凌源钢铁,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了一个警告信号,您应该在此之前投资凌源钢铁时注意。
We will like Lingyuan Iron & Steel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模内部人士买入,凌源钢铁会让我们更喜欢。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费的被低估股票名单(主要是小盘股),这些股票最近有相当大的内部人士买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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