Does Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(查理芒格的支持者)曾经说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。'当我们考虑公司有多么具有风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致灭亡。我们可以看到,餐饮品牌国际公司(NYSE:QSR)确实在业务中使用债务。但这些债务会不会担忧股东呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助业务,直到业务无法偿还债务,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,公司可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以极低价格发行股份,永久性稀释股东,以弥补资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务-并使其处于自己的利益之中。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先看现金和债务的总和。
What Is Restaurant Brands International's Net Debt?
餐饮品牌国际的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Restaurant Brands International had US$13.7b of debt, an increase on US$12.9b, over one year. However, it does have US$1.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$12.5b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年9月,餐饮品牌国际的债务为137亿美元,较一年前的129亿美元有所增加。然而,它确实有11.8亿美元的现金来抵消这一增加,导致净债务约为125亿美元。
How Healthy Is Restaurant Brands International's Balance Sheet?
餐饮品牌国际的资产负债表如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Restaurant Brands International had liabilities of US$2.21b due within a year, and liabilities of US$17.8b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.18b in cash and US$693.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$18.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,餐饮品牌国际一年内到期的负债为22.1亿美元,之后到期的负债为178亿美元。与此相抵,它手头有11.8亿美元的现金和6,9300万美元的应收款项,这些应收款项在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收款项多了182亿美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Restaurant Brands International is worth a massive US$31.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
这个赤字并不算太糟糕,因为餐饮品牌国际价值巨大,达到了314亿美元,所以在必要时可能能够筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但我们绝对要密切关注其负债带来的风险是否太高。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过将公司的净债务与其息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)相除,并计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何覆盖其利息费用(利息覆盖率)来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力。因此,我们同时考虑债务的绝对数量以及所支付的利率。
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0, it's fair to say Restaurant Brands International does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.8 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. The good news is that Restaurant Brands International improved its EBIT by 5.8% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Restaurant Brands International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
以5.0的净债务/EBITDA比率来看,可以说餐饮品牌国际确实有相当数量的债务。但它3.8的利息覆盖率还算强劲,这是一个好迹象。好消息是,餐饮品牌国际在过去十二个月内提高了5.8%的EBIt,逐渐降低了相对于其收入的债务水平。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要集中关注的领域。但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定餐饮品牌国际是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,展示分析师对利润的预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Restaurant Brands International produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要真金白银。因此,值得查看EBIt有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的三年中,餐饮品牌国际产生了相当可观的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的61%,这正是我们期望的。这份自由现金流使公司有足够实力在适当时期偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Restaurant Brands International's struggle handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Restaurant Brands International is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Restaurant Brands International .
餐饮品牌国际努力应对其债务问题,根据其EBITDA,让我们开始对其资产负债表强度产生疑虑,但我们考虑的其他数据点相对令人鼓舞。例如,其EBIt转换为自由现金流的能力相对较强。综合考虑以上各方面,餐饮品牌国际似乎是一项相对风险较高的投资,这与其债务有关。并非所有风险都是坏的,因为如果偿还债务,它可以提高股价回报,但这种债务风险值得记在心头。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。因此,您应该注意我们在餐饮品牌国际中发现的1个警告信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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