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Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd (SZSE:000812) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd (SZSE:000812) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司(深证:000812)在使用债务方面承担了一些风险。
Simply Wall St ·  12/07 18:20

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000812) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希尔哈撒韦背后的外部基金经理盧李说:“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于你是否会遭受资本永久性损失。” 当您检查一个公司的风险时,考虑其资产负债表是很自然的,因为往往在企业倒闭时会涉及到债务。 我们可以看到,陕西金叶科技教育集团股份有限公司(SZSE:000812)的确在业务中使用了债务。 但这种债务会让股东担心吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过增加资本还是利用自身的现金流。 如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管业务。 然而,更常见的(但仍然代价高昂)情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价 dilute 股东,以便简单地控制债务。 当然,有很多公司使用债务来支持增长,而没有任何负面后果。 当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先查看现金和债务。

What Is Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's Net Debt?

陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd had debt of CN¥1.59b, up from CN¥1.23b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥303.2m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.29b.

下面的图片,您可以点击查看更多详细信息,显示陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司于2024年9月有人民币15.9亿的债务,比一年前的12.3亿人民币增加。 另一方面,其有30320万人民币现金,净债务约为12.9亿人民币。

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SZSE:000812 Debt to Equity History December 8th 2024
SZSE:000812债务资产比历史记录 2024年12月8日

How Healthy Is Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司的资产负债表健康状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.56b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥863.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥303.2m and CN¥416.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.70b.

深入研究最新资产负债表数据,我们发现陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司有着非常大的债务,其中有25.6亿人民币需要在12个月内偿还,86330万人民币需要超过12个月偿还。另一方面,公司有30320万人民币的现金和41630万人民币的应收款项,其中有1年内到期。因此,其负债超过现金和(短期)应收款项的总和达27亿人民币。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.18b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

相对于41.8亿人民币的市值,这是一座高山般的杠杆。如果贷款人要求加强资产负债表,股东可能面临严重稀释。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了衡量公司债务相对于其收入的规模,我们计算其净债务除以利息、税收、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),并计算其利息前税利润(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。这样,我们考虑了债务的绝对金额,以及支付的利率。

While Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. On the other hand, Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

虽然陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司的债务对息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率(4.2)表明公司使用了一定程度的债务,但其利息偿付倍数非常弱,为2.5,表明杠杆率很高。看起来借款成本对股东的回报产生了负面影响。另一方面,陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司的EBIT在过去一年增长了23%。如果能持续增长,这种增长应该使债务像在异常炎热的夏天中稀缺的饮用水一样消失。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但您不能孤立地看待债务;因为陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司将需要收入来偿还那些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收入趋势。单击此处查看互动快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能胜任这项任务。因此,看看EBIT中实际自由现金流所占比例是合乎逻辑的步骤。在过去三年中,陕西金叶科技教育集团有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑期待此情况在不久的将来扭转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更加风险。

Our View

我们的观点

Mulling over Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shaanxi Jinye Science Technology and Education GroupLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

考虑到陕西金叶科技教育集团尝试将EBIt转化为自由现金流,我们确实不是很热衷。但至少在增长EBIT方面表现相当不错,这是令人鼓舞的。一旦我们考虑到以上所有因素,总体而言,我们认为陕西金叶科技教育集团的债务增加了一些风险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们对潜在的风险挑战持谨慎态度,因此我们可能希望其负债更少。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中可以了解到债务的大部分情况。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。我们已经发现了一个关于陕西金叶科技教育集团的警告信号,了解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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