Here's Why Phenix Optical (SHSE:600071) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Phenix Optical (SHSE:600071) Can Afford Some Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Phenix Optical Company Limited (SHSE:600071) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
一些人认为,相较于债务,波动性是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地说过,“波动性远非与风险同义。”因此,似乎聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产相关——是评估公司风险时非常重要的因素。重要的是,飞宁光学有限公司(SHSE:600071)确实承担了债务。但股东应该对其债务的使用感到担忧吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松用自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹资来履行义务时,债务和其他负债就会对企业构成风险。资本主义的一部分是“创造性毁灭”的过程,失败的企业会被它们的银行无情地清算。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是公司必须以低价发行股票,永久性地稀释股东权益,以维护其资产负债表。当然,很多公司使用负债来实现增长,没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,首先要看现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Phenix Optical's Debt?
飞宁光学的债务是什么?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Phenix Optical had CN¥392.0m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥700.7m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥145.7m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥246.4m.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示飞宁光学在2024年9月的债务为39200万元,从一年前的70070万元下降。然而,由于它有14570万元的现金储备,其净债务更低,约为24640万元。
How Healthy Is Phenix Optical's Balance Sheet?
Phenix Optical的资产负债表健康状况如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Phenix Optical had liabilities of CN¥1.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥60.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥145.7m in cash and CN¥537.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥529.0m.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,Phenix Optical有CN¥11.5亿的负债将在一年内到期,还有CN¥6040万的负债将在更长时间内到期。相抵之下,它有CN¥14570万的现金和CN¥53770万的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金及(短期)应收账款之和CN¥52900万。
Since publicly traded Phenix Optical shares are worth a total of CN¥6.74b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Phenix Optical's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
由于公开交易的Phenix Optical股票总值为CN¥67.4亿,这一负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,很明显我们应该继续关注它的资产负债表,以免情况恶化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学习关于债务的知识。但是,未来Phenix Optical的收益将影响资产负债表的稳健性。因此,在考虑债务时,查看收益趋势绝对值得。点击这里获取互动快照。
Over 12 months, Phenix Optical made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.7b, which is a fall of 7.6%. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去的12个月里,Phenix Optical在EBIT层面上遭受了损失,营收降至CN¥17亿,下降了7.6%。我们更希望看到增长。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Over the last twelve months Phenix Optical produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥73m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥70m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Phenix Optical that you should be aware of.
在过去的十二个月里,Phenix Optical产生了利息和税前(EBIT)损失。具体来说,EBIT损失为CN¥7300万。考虑到上述负债,这并没有给我们带来太多信心,认为公司应该使用如此多的债务。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有些紧张,但并非无可救药。例如,我们不希望看到去年CN¥7000万的损失重演。因此,坦白地说,我们确实认为这很有风险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。比如,我们发现了Phenix Optical需要注意的一个警告信号。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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