Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) Just Released Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
Last week, you might have seen that Korn Ferry (NYSE:KFY) released its second-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.7% to US$71.56 in the past week. Revenues of US$674m were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at US$1.14, missing estimates by 4.9%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
上周,您可能已经看到光辉国际咨询顾问(纽交所:KFY)向市场发布了其第二季度的业绩。早期反应不佳,过去一周股价下跌8.7%,至71.56美元。营业收入为67400万美元,与预测一致,尽管法定每股收益(EPS)为1.14美元,低于预期,未达到估计值的4.9%。这是投资者一个重要的时刻,因为他们可以在报告中跟踪公司的表现,查看专家对明年的预测,并观察业务预期是否有所变化。我们认为读者会发现,分析师最新的(法定)财报后预测对明年是有趣的。
Taking into account the latest results, Korn Ferry's five analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$2.69b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$4.70, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.72b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.74 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考虑到最新的业绩,光辉国际咨询顾问的五位分析师目前预计2025年的营业收入为26.9亿万美元,基本与过去12个月持平。法定每股收益预计为4.70美元,基本与过去12个月持平。就在这份报告发布之前,分析师曾预计2025年的营业收入为27.2亿,毎股收益(EPS)为4.74美元。所以,很明显,尽管分析师更新了他们的预估,但在最新业绩发布后,业务预期并没有重大变化。
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$80.25, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Korn Ferry analyst has a price target of US$84.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$72.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
营业收入或每股收益的预计没有变化,价格目标为80.25美元,表明公司在最近的业绩中满足了预期。然而,专注于单一价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估算区间,以了解是否存在对公司估值的不同看法。最乐观的光辉国际咨询顾问分析师对每股的价格目标为84.00美元,而最悲观的分析师将其估值为72.00美元。在如此狭窄的估值区间内,分析师显然对他们认为业务价值有相似的看法。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.6% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 10% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.2% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Korn Ferry's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
当然,观察这些预测的另一种方式是将它们与行业本身进行对比。这些估计意味着到2025年底,营业收入预计将放缓,年化下降幅度为1.6%。这表明与过去五年的年增长10%相比,出现了显著减少。相比之下,我们的数据表明同一行业中其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的营业收入预计在可预见的未来将每年增长6.2%。显然,光辉国际咨询顾问的营业收入预计将明显低于整个行业。
The Bottom Line
结论
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最明显的结论是,最近业务前景没有重大变化,分析师们保持其每股收益预测稳定,与之前的估计一致。从积极的一面来看,营业收入估计没有重大变化;尽管预测暗示它们将表现低于整个行业。共识价格目标没有实质性变化,暗示最新估计显示该业务的内在价值没有发生重大变化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Korn Ferry going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..
话虽如此,公司每股收益的长期轨迹要比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有关于光辉国际咨询顾问到2027年的完整分析师估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Korn Ferry you should know about.
风险又如何呢?每家公司都有风险,我们发现光辉国际咨询顾问有一个您应该了解的警告信号。
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