We Think Zimmer Biomet Holdings (NYSE:ZBH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Zimmer Biomet Holdings (NYSE:ZBH) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ZBH) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人说投资者考虑风险时,波动性而非债务是最佳方法,但沃伦·巴菲特曾著名地说过:‘波动性远非与风险同义。’所以聪明的资金似乎知道,债务——通常涉及破产——是评估一家公司风险时一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到齐默巴奥米特控股公司(纽交所:ZBH)在其业务中确实使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得风险更大。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是利用自身现金流。资本主义的一部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被银行无情清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司因为债权人迫使其以低价融资而导致股东永久性稀释。但通过稀释替换,债务对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说可以是一个极好的工具。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务合在一起进行考虑。
What Is Zimmer Biomet Holdings's Debt?
齐默巴奥米特控股的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zimmer Biomet Holdings had US$6.64b of debt, up from US$5.70b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$569.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$6.07b.
正如您在下面所看到的,截止到2024年9月底,齐默巴奥米特控股的债务为66.4亿美元,较一年前的57亿美元有所增加。点击图片查看详细信息。另一方面,它有56900万美元的现金,这导致净债务约为60.7亿美元。
A Look At Zimmer Biomet Holdings' Liabilities
看齐默巴奥米特控股的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zimmer Biomet Holdings had liabilities of US$3.57b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.77b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$569.0m and US$1.48b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$7.29b.
从最近的资产负债表中可以看到,齐默巴奥米特控股的一年内到期负债为35.7亿美金,超出一年到期的负債为57.7亿美金。另一方面,它的现金为56900万美金,一年内到期的应收账款为14.8亿美金。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(短期)应收款的总和72.9亿美金。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Zimmer Biomet Holdings has a huge market capitalization of US$21.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
虽然这看起来很多,但并不算太糟,因为齐默巴奥米特控股的市值高达215亿美金,因此如果需要,可以通过融资来增强其资产负债表。然而,仔细观察其偿还债务的能力仍然是值得的。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过查看净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比以及计算其利息支出由收益前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖的程度来度量一家公司的债务负载相对于其收益能力的程度。此方法的优点在于我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(以净债务为EBITDA)以及与该债务相关的实际利息支出(以其利息覆盖倍数计算)。
Zimmer Biomet Holdings's net debt of 2.4 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. If Zimmer Biomet Holdings can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zimmer Biomet Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
齐默巴奥米特控股的净债务为EBITDA的2.4倍,表明其债务使用得当。诱人的利息保障(EBIT是利息支出的7.7倍)无疑进一步增强了这一印象。如果齐默巴奥米特控股能够在去年11%的增长率基础上继续增长EBIT,那么它会发现债务负担更容易管理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但未来的收益,更多的时候,将决定齐默巴奥米特控股保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会对这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告感兴趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zimmer Biomet Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,逻辑步骤是查看与实际自由现金流相匹配的EBIT比例。在最近三年中,齐默巴奥米特控股记录的自由现金流占EBIT的59%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税务。这种自由现金流使得公司在适当的时候能够很好的偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
On this analysis, Zimmer Biomet Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive, just like an unsolicited gift of cupcakes from a work colleague. And its interest cover should also leave shareholders feeling frolicsome. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Zimmer Biomet Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. All these things considered, it appears that Zimmer Biomet Holdings can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zimmer Biomet Holdings you should know about.
根据分析,齐默巴奥米特控股将EBIT转化为自由现金流的表现相当积极,就像同事送来的意外杯子蛋糕一样。并且,它的利息保障也应该让股东感到愉悦。我们还注意到,像齐默巴奥米特控股这样的医疗设备行业企业通常会无问题地使用债务。考虑到所有这些情况,齐默巴奥米特控股能够轻松应对目前的债务水平。从积极的一面来看,这种杠杆可以提升股东回报,但潜在的 downside 是损失风险更高,因此值得关注资产负债表。毫无疑问,我们最了解债务的来源是资产负债表。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有这些风险,我们发现齐默巴奥米特控股有2个你应该知道的警示信号。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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