The Shanghai Highly (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600619) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 90% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Shanghai Highly (Group) may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Shanghai Highly (Group) Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Highly (Group) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Highly (Group) will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Highly (Group)?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Highly (Group)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.6% last year. Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Shanghai Highly (Group)'s P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Highly (Group)'s P/S?
Shanghai Highly (Group)'s P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Highly (Group) revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shanghai Highly (Group) (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Highly (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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