Shanxi Coking's (SHSE:600740) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders
Shanxi Coking's (SHSE:600740) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Shanxi Coking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600740) share price up 28% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 32% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
尽管对一些股东来说可能不够,但我们认为看到山西焦化股份有限公司(SHSE:600740)的股价在一个季度内上涨28%是件好事。然而,这并不能改变过去三年回报不尽人意的事实。实际上,过去三年股价下跌了32%,大大低于市场回报。
While the last three years has been tough for Shanxi Coking shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
虽然过去三年对山西焦化的股东来说很艰难,但这一周显示出了希望的迹象。那么让我们看看长期的基本面,看看是否在负回报的背后。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《格雷厄姆和道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映公司价值的方式。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方式是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During the three years that the share price fell, Shanxi Coking's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 50% each year. In comparison the 12% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 45.06.
在股价下跌的三年中,山西焦化的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了50%。相比之下,12%的复合年股价下降并没有每股收益的下跌那么糟糕。这表明,尽管过去每股收益有所下降,市场对长期盈利稳定性仍然保留一些乐观情绪。这种积极的情绪也反映在45.06的高市盈率上。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Shanxi Coking's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我们高兴地报告,CEO的薪酬比大多数资本相似的公司的CEO要低得多。但虽然CEO的薪酬总是值得关注,但真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。可能值得查看我们关于山西焦化的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Shanxi Coking, it has a TSR of -26% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑总股东回报以及任何特定股票的股价回报是很重要的。TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何红利都被再投资)以及任何折价融资和剥离的计算价值。可以公平地说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的视角。在山西焦化的情况下,过去三年其TSR为-26%。这超过了之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Shanxi Coking shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 12%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanxi Coking better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Shanxi Coking has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
山西焦化的股东今年下跌了15%(即便包括分红),但市场本身上涨了12%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票在十二个月的时间里有时也会表现不佳。 从好的一面来看,长期股东已经盈利,五年内每年增长4%。最近的卖出可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据,以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。 跟踪长期的股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解山西焦化,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,风险 - 山西焦化有3个警告信号(还有1个让我们有点不安),我们认为你应该知道。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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