Here's Why Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd (SHSE:600227) Can Afford Some Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Guizhou Chitianhua Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600227) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得很好,他说:'波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性资本损失。' 因此,考虑债务在内的风险时,显然需要思考任何给定股票的风险,因为过多的债务可能会让一家公司陷入困境。我们可以看到贵州赤天化股份有限公司(SHSE:600227)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务会带来多少风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当企业不能轻松运用自由现金流或者以合适的价格筹资时,债务和其他负债便会导致风险。在最坏的情况下,公司如果无法偿付其债权人债务,则可能会破产。而即使不至于破产,我们通常也会看到负债累累的企业因为受到贷款人的压力而永久稀释股东权益,因为它们被迫以低于市值的价格筹集资金。而债务则可以通过替代股权稀释而成为需要以高回报率投资为增长的企业的一种非常好的工具。考虑到企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的就是查看其现金和债务情况。
What Is Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Debt?
贵州赤天化股份有限公司的债务情况是什么?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had CN¥1.09b of debt, up from CN¥946.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥394.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥694.6m.
如您所见,截至2024年9月底,贵州赤天化股份有限公司的债务为10.9亿人民币,较去年94630万人民币有所上升。点击图片获取更多细节。然而,它也有39400万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为69460万人民币。
A Look At Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's Liabilities
观察贵州赤天化有限公司的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.79b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥533.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥394.0m and CN¥148.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.78b.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,贵州赤天化有限公司有负债17.9亿人民币将在一年内到期,以及53370万人民币的负债将在更长的时间内到期。另一方面,它有39400万人民币的现金和14880万人民币的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收账款之和17.8亿人民币。
Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.84b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
贵州赤天化有限公司的市值为48.4亿人民币,因此如果需要,它很可能能够筹集现金以改善其资产负债表。然而,仔细观察其偿还债务的能力仍然是很重要的。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但影响资产负债表在未来表现的将是贵州赤天化有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想了解更多关于其收益的信息,查看其长期收益趋势的图表可能是值得的。
In the last year Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
在过去的一年里,贵州赤天化有限公司的营业收入基本持平,并产生了负的息税前利润(EBIT)。虽然这并不算太糟糕,但我们更希望看到增长。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Importantly, Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥51m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Surprisingly, we note that it actually reported positive free cash flow of CN¥255m and a profit of CN¥92m. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guizhou ChitianhuaLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
重要的是,贵州赤天化有限公司在过去的一年中产生了息税前利润(EBIT)亏损。实际上,它在EBIT水平上的损失达到5100万人民币。考虑到上述负债,这让我们对公司使用如此多的债务信心不足。坦白说,我们认为资产负债表远未健全,尽管随着时间的推移可能会得到改善。令人惊讶的是,我们注意到它实际上报告了积极的自由现金流为25500万人民币和利润为9200万人民币。因此,如果我们关注这些指标,似乎有机会公司将能够顺利管理其债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。例如,我们发现了一个来自贵州赤天化有限公司的警告信号,你在此投资前应该注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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