Would Tianshui Huatian Technology (SZSE:002185) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Would Tianshui Huatian Technology (SZSE:002185) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Tianshui Huatian Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002185) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说过,“波动性远不等同于风险。”因此,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,华天科技(SZSE:002185)也利用债务。但是,股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会变成真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自己的现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为债权人迫使他们以困境价格发行股票而永久稀释股东。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们审查负债水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Tianshui Huatian Technology's Net Debt?
华天科技的净债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Tianshui Huatian Technology had debt of CN¥12.8b, up from CN¥9.01b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥7.68b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥5.14b.
下面的图像,您可以单击以获得更多详细信息,显示截至2024年9月华天科技的债务为128亿人民币,较去年90.1亿人民币上升。另一方面,它的现金为76.8亿人民币,导致净债务约为51.4亿人民币。
A Look At Tianshui Huatian Technology's Liabilities
华天科技负债情况一览
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tianshui Huatian Technology had liabilities of CN¥9.71b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.60b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.68b in cash and CN¥2.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥7.83b.
从最近的资产负债表来看,华天科技的短期负债为97.1亿元人民币,长期负债为86亿元人民币。相对而言,它有76.8亿元人民币的现金和28亿元人民币的应收账款(在12个月内到期)。因此,它的负债超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和78.3亿元人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Tianshui Huatian Technology is worth CN¥38.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tianshui Huatian Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
这个赤字并不是太糟糕,因为华天科技的市值为385亿元人民币,因此在需要时很可能能够筹集足够的资本来巩固其资产负债表。然而,仍然值得仔细观察其偿债能力。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定华天科技是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year Tianshui Huatian Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 27%, to CN¥14b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去的一年中,华天科技在EBIT层面没有盈利,但其营业收入增长了27%,达到了140亿元人民币。希望这家公司能通过增长实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
While we can certainly appreciate Tianshui Huatian Technology's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost CN¥153m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥2.1b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Tianshui Huatian Technology that you should be aware of.
虽然我们确实欣赏华天科技的营业收入增长,但其息税前利润(EBIT)亏损并不理想。事实上,它在EBIT层面亏损了15300万元人民币。考虑到与上述负债一起,这并没有给我们太大的信心认为公司应该使用那么多债务。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远未适应,不过随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。然而,过去一年中它消耗了21亿元人民币的现金,这并没有帮助。因此,简而言之,这是一只非常高风险的股票。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了大多数关于债务的知识。然而,并非所有投资风险都在资产负债表中——远非如此。例如,我们已经发现华天科技有一个需要注意的警告信号。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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