Is Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) (SHSE:688336) A Risky Investment?
Is Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) (SHSE:688336) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) Co., Ltd (SHSE:688336) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李路(查理·芒格支持)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。’当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致破产。重要的是,三生国健制药(上海)有限公司(SHSE:688336)确实有债务。但这项债务对股东来说是个问题吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是通过其自身的现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然成本高昂)的情况是,公司的股东必须以便宜的分享价格稀释股份,仅仅是为了控制债务。当然,债务的好处在于它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它替代了一家能够高回报率进行再投资公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。
What Is Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai)'s Net Debt?
三生国健制药(上海)的净债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) had CN¥50.0m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥1.32b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.27b net cash.
下面的图表,您可以点击以获取更多详细信息,显示三生国健制药(上海)在2024年9月的债务为5000万人民币;与前年大致相同。但它也拥有13.2亿人民币的现金来抵消这部分债务,这意味着它的净现金为12.7亿人民币。
A Look At Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai)'s Liabilities
查看三生国健(上海)的负债情况
The latest balance sheet data shows that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥760.6m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥111.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.32b and CN¥241.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥687.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,三生国健(上海)的负债为76060万元,且一年内到期的负债为11170万元。另一方面,它的现金为13.2亿,且一年内到期的应收账款为24190万元。因此,实际上它的流动资产比总负债多68770万元。
This surplus suggests that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这一盈余表明,三生国健(上海)拥有稳健的资产负债表,并且可能在没有太大困难的情况下消除其债务。简单来说,三生国健(上海)的现金超过债务这一事实,无疑是其能够安全管理债务的良好指标。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
此外,我们很高兴地报告,三生国健(上海)的EBIT提升了45%,从而减少了未来债务偿还的压力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表自然是我们最先考虑的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定三生国健(上海)能否随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,您可以查看这份免费的报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last two years, Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai)'s free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但我们的最后一个考虑也很重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要实际的现金。虽然三生国健(上海)的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解其构建(或削弱)现金余额的速度。在过去两年中,三生国健(上海)的自由现金流占EBIT的38%,低于我们的预期。这样的现金转换能力较弱使其更难以处理债务。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) has net cash of CN¥1.27b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 45% over the last year. So we don't think Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai)'s use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical (Shanghai) (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,三生国健(上海)的净现金为12.7亿人民币,以及其流动资产大于负债。 而且它在过去一年中EBIT的增长率达到了45%。 所以我们认为三生国健(上海)使用债务并不是风险。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的重点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表上 - 远非如此。 例如,我们已确定三生国健(上海)存在2个警告信号(其中1个有些不愉快),您应该提高警惕。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的企业,那么请查看这份免费的、拥有净现金的成长型企业名单。
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