Is Asana (NYSE:ASAN) A Risky Investment?
Is Asana (NYSE:ASAN) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Asana, Inc. (NYSE:ASAN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过:‘波动性远不是风险的同义词。’所以在考虑任何给定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可以让一家公司破产。我们可以看到阿莎娜公司(纽交所:ASAN)确实在其业务中使用债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无力偿还债务,它就完全处于债权人的支配之下。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能一无所获。尽管这种情况不太常见,我们经常看到负债公司因为债权人强迫他们以低于市价的价格发行股本而导致股东永久稀释。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表着廉价资本,特别是当它取代公司中具备以高回报率再投资能力的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先看的是现金和债务两者合一。
What Is Asana's Net Debt?
阿莎娜的净债务是多少?
As you can see below, Asana had US$39.9m of debt at October 2024, down from US$44.9m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$455.3m in cash, so it actually has US$415.4m net cash.
正如您在下方看到的,阿莎娜在2024年10月的债务为3990万美元,比一年前的4490万美元有所下降。然而,其资产负债表显示其持有现金为45530万美元,因此实际上它有41540万美元的净现金。
How Healthy Is Asana's Balance Sheet?
阿莎娜的资产负债表健康吗?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Asana had liabilities of US$383.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$251.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$455.3m as well as receivables valued at US$66.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$112.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,阿莎娜有负债38300万美元将在一年内到期,25190万美元将在之后到期。为了抵消这些负债,它拥有45530万美元的现金和价值6690万美元的应收账款,均将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出11270万美元。
Given Asana has a market capitalization of US$5.06b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Asana also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Asana's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
考虑到阿莎娜的市值为50.6亿美元,很难相信这些负债会带来什么威胁。不过,很明显我们应该继续监控它的资产负债表,以免发生不利变化。虽然它确实有需要关注的负债,但阿莎娜的现金多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全管理其债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但更重要的是,它未来的盈利能力将判断阿莎娜能否保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这个关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
In the last year Asana wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 12%, to US$707m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
在过去的一年中,阿莎娜的息税前利润(EBIT)水平上未能实现盈利,但成功将营业收入增长了12%,达到了70700万美元。这个增长速度对于我们的口味来说有点慢,但每个行业都需要各种类型的公司。
So How Risky Is Asana?
那么阿莎娜有多大风险?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Asana lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$27m of cash and made a loss of US$256m. But the saving grace is the US$415.4m on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Asana you should be aware of.
从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比盈利的公司风险更大。而实际上,在过去的十二个月里,阿莎娜在息税前利润(EBIT)方面出现了亏损。确实,在那段时间里,它烧掉了2700万美元的现金,并亏损了25600万美元。但值得庆幸的是,资产负债表上有41540万美元的现金。这意味着公司可以在目前的支出水平下,继续用于增长,至少两年。总而言之,我们对这个情况有点怀疑,因为在没有自由现金流的情况下,它似乎相当风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到最多关于债务的信息。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。实际上,我们发现了四个值得注意的警告信号,阿莎娜需要引起警惕。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
当一切尘埃落定时,有时更容易专注于那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费查看零净债务的成长股列表。
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