Step Aside, BlackBerry: This AI Stock Is the Real Deal for Canadian Investors
Step Aside, BlackBerry: This AI Stock Is the Real Deal for Canadian Investors
Eight years ago, BlackBerry (TSX:BB) exited the smartphone segment to focus on its higher-margin software and services business. However, despite this pivot, BlackBerry stock has been down over 60% since December 2016 as it continues to wrestle with sluggish sales and negative cash flows.
八年前,黑莓(tsx:bb)退出了智能手机领域,将重点放在更高毛利率的软件和服务业务上。然而,尽管进行了这一转变,黑莓的股票自2016年12月以来已经下跌超过60%,因为它仍在与疲软的销售和负现金流作斗争。
The company's sales have fallen from US$1.30 billion in fiscal 2017 (ended in February) to US$637 million in the last four quarters. Further, it continues to report a free cash outflow, which indicates that BlackBerry is struggling with a higher cost base and unsustainable profit margins.
公司的营业收入从2017财年(截至2月)为13亿美元下降至过去四个季度的63700万美元。此外,它继续报告自由现金流流出,这表明黑莓正在面临更高的成本基础和不可持续的利润率。
Is BlackBerry stock a good buy right now?
现在买入黑莓股票好吗?
BlackBerry, valued at $2.2 billion by market cap, provides intelligent security software and services to enterprises. In the fiscal second quarter (Q2) of 2025, BlackBerry reported revenue of US$145 million, an increase of 9.8% compared to the year-ago period.
黑莓的市值为22亿美元,向企业提供智能安全软件和服务。在2025财年的第二季度(Q2),黑莓报告的营业收入为14500万美元,比去年同期增长9.8%。
BlackBerry's Internet of Things (IoT) business grew by 12% year over year to US$55 million, while cybersecurity sales were up 10% to US$87 million. It reported an operating loss of US$4 million, while its cash usage stood at US$13 million, compared to US$56 million in the year-ago period.
黑莓的物联网(iot)业务同比增长12%,达5500万美元,而网络安全销售增长10%,达8700万美元。它报告的营业亏损为400万美元,而其现金使用为1300万美元,较去年同期的5600万美元有所减少。
BlackBerry emphasized that its IoT business reported a gross margin of 82% in Q2, an increase of 100 basis points sequentially due to strong production-based royalties and multiple new ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance System) wins.
黑莓强调其物联网业务在第二季度报告的毛利率为82%,比上个季度增加100个基点,这得益于强劲的基于生产的特许权使用费和多个新的ADAS(爱文思控股)项目的成功。
Notably, sales of its core cybersecurity products increased 24%, and the segment ended Q2 with an annual recurring revenue of US$279 million. While the net retention rate for this segment improved to 88%, it suggests that existing customers reduced spending by 12% over the last 12 months.
值得注意的是,其核心网络安全产品的销售增长了24%,该部门在第二季度结束时的年度经常性收入为27900万美元。虽然该部门的净留存率改善至88%,但这表明现有客户在过去12个月中减少了12%的支出。
A focus on cost management allowed BlackBerry to reduce operating expenses by 24% year over year to US$99 million in Q2. The company expects to report a positive adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) in fiscal 2025 and return to positive cash flow by the end of Q4.
对成本管理的关注使黑莓在第二季度将营业费用同比减少了24%,降至9900万美元。公司预计将在2025财年报告正的调整后EBITDA(息税折旧摊销前利润),并在第四季度末恢复正的现金流。
Despite its improving financials, BlackBerry remains a high-risk investment as it faces competition from established peers that are growing much faster. BlackBerry is part of multiple growth segments such as cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and IoT but is struggling to grow at the top line, which suggests it is losing market share.
尽管财务状况有所改善,黑莓仍然是一个高风险投资,因为它面临着来自快速增长的成熟同行的竞争。黑莓参与多个增长领域,如网络安全、人工智能和物联网,但在营业收入上增长乏力,这表明它正在失去市场份额。
Buy this AI stock instead
改买这只人工智能股票
Investors looking to buy undervalued AI stocks can consider gaining exposure to UiPath (NYSE:PATH). Valued at US$8.12 billion by market cap, UiPath provides an end-to-end automation platform that offers robotic process automation (RPA) solutions in the U.S. and other international markets. It offers enterprise-facing solutions to build, manage, rub, engage, measure, and govern automation within an organization.
寻求投资被低估的人工智能股票的投资者可以考虑获取UiPath(纽交所:PATH)的投资机会。按市值估值为81.2亿美元,UiPath提供一体化的自动化平台,在美国及其他国际市场提供机器人流程自动化(RPA)解决方案。它提供面向企业的解决方案,以在组织内构建、管理、运行、参与、衡量和治理自动化。
Sales have risen from US$336.2 million in fiscal 2020 (which ended in January) to US$1.4 billion in the last 12 months. However, its growth story is far from over, given that analysts expect UiPath sales to rise to US$1.58 billion in fiscal 2026 and US$1.75 billion in 2027.
销售额从2020财年的33620万美元(截至1月)上升至过去12个月的14亿美元。然而,鉴于分析师预计UiPath的销售额将在2026财年达到15.8亿美元,2027年达到17.5亿美元,其增长故事远未结束。
Unlike BlackBerry, UiPath is reporting consistent free cash flow. Wall Street projects its free cash flow to surpass US$400 million in fiscal 2027, compared to a free cash outflow of US$34 million in 2023.
与黑莓不同,UiPath报告了持续的自由现金流。华尔街预计,其自由现金流将在2027财年超过40000万美元,而2023年则出现3400万美元的现金流出。
Priced at less than 30 times forward earnings, PATH stock is quite cheap, given its growth estimates. Analysts remain bullish on the AI stock and expect it to gain close to 10% from current levels, given consensus price target estimates.
由于其增长预期,PATH股票的前瞻性市盈率不到30倍,价格相当便宜。分析师对这只人工智能股票持看好态度,预计其从目前水平接近上涨10%,给出的共识价格目标估计。