Anhui Huaertai Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001217) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Anhui Huaertai Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001217) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Anhui Huaertai Chemical (SZSE:001217) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 51% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Huaertai Chemical's ROE in this article.
安徽华尔泰化工(深交所代码:001217)在股票市场上表现出色,过去三个月其股票上涨了51%。但是,公司主要的财务指标似乎差异明显,这让我们怀疑公司目前的股价动能是否能够维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究安徽华尔泰化工的ROE。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
股东权益回报率(ROE)是测试公司如何有效地增加其价值和管理投资者资金的指标。换句话说,它是一个盈利能力比率,衡量公司股东提供的资本的回报率。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股本回报率?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Huaertai Chemical is:
所以,基于上述公式,安徽华尔泰化工的ROE为:
6.2% = CN¥139m ÷ CN¥2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
6.2% = CN¥13900万 ÷ CN¥23亿(基于截至2024年9月的十二个月)。
The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.06 in profit.
‘回报’是年利润。 一种理解方式是,假设公司拥有每1元的股东资本,那么它每年获得0.06元的利润。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
ROE与收益增长之间的关系是什么?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们了解到ROE衡量了一家公司产生利润的效率。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或"保留"多少利润以支持未来的增长,这样就能给我们一个关于公司增长潜力的概念。在其他条件相同的情况下,拥有更高股本回报率和较高利润保留的公司通常在与不具备相同特征的公司相比时,拥有更高的增长率。
Anhui Huaertai Chemical's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE
安徽华尔泰化工的盈利增长和6.2%的ROE
At first glance, Anhui Huaertai Chemical's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.2%. But then again, Anhui Huaertai Chemical's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 12%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.
乍一看,安徽华尔泰化工的ROE似乎并不太令人鼓舞。然而,进一步研究表明,该公司的ROE与行业平均水平6.2%相似。但与此同时,安徽华尔泰化工过去五年的净利润以12%的速度收缩。请注意,该公司的ROE略显偏低。因此,这在一定程度上解释了盈利的减少。
That being said, we compared Anhui Huaertai Chemical's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 4.9% in the same 5-year period.
话虽如此,我们将安徽华尔泰化工的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现公司在过去五年中虽然盈利收缩,但行业的盈利增长率为4.9%时,我们感到担忧。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Anhui Huaertai Chemical's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
盈利增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或其缺乏是否已经反映在股票价格中。这将帮助他们判断股票的未来是看好还是看坏。如果你想了解安徽华尔泰化工的估值,可以参考其市盈率相较于行业的指标。
Is Anhui Huaertai Chemical Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
安徽华尔泰化工是否有效利用了留存收益?
When we piece together Anhui Huaertai Chemical's low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (where it is retaining 79% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
当我们将安徽华尔泰化工过去三年21%的低中位数派息率(其保留79%的利润)组合在一起时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。低派息意味着公司保留了大部分盈利,因此应该会有一些增长。看起来可能有其他原因来解释这种状况的缺乏,例如,业务可能正在衰退。
Moreover, Anhui Huaertai Chemical has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.
此外,安徽华尔泰化工已经连续三年支付分红,这是相当长的一段时间,表明管理层可能认为股东更喜欢稳定的分红,即使盈利已经在减少。
Summary
总结
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Anhui Huaertai Chemical can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Anhui Huaertai Chemical by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
总体而言,我们认为安徽华尔泰化工的表现可以有许多种解读。尽管看起来它仍然保留着大部分利润,但由于ROE较低,投资者可能并未从所有的再投资中获益。这一低盈利增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总的来说,我们会对这家公司保持谨慎,一种做法是查看该业务的风险概况。您可以通过访问我们平台上的风险特斯拉-仪表,免费查看我们为安徽华尔泰化工识别的两个风险。
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