Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd (SZSE:300529) A Risky Investment?
Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd (SZSE:300529) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jafron Biomedical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300529) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍华德·马克斯很巧妙地说过,与其担心股票价格的波动,不如担心'永久性损失的可能性,这才是我担心的风险……而我认识的每一个实际投资者也都在担心这个。'当我们思考一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢关注其债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到健帆生物(深圳证券交易所代码:300529)在其资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务对业务有益,直到业务难以通过新的资本或自由现金流偿还。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人就会控制企业。虽然这种情况并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司因贷方强迫其以窘迫的价格筹集资本而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务可以是企业重要的工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。当我们审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务的总和。
What Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd's Debt?
健帆生物的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jafron BiomedicalLtd had debt of CN¥1.62b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.72b over a year. However, it does have CN¥2.71b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.10b.
下面的图片(你可以点击查看更详细的信息)显示,健帆生物在2024年9月底的债务为16.2亿人民币,较一年前的17.2亿人民币有所减少。然而,它拥有27.1亿人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净现金为11亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Jafron BiomedicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
健帆生物的资产负债表健康吗?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jafron BiomedicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥872.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.43b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.71b and CN¥217.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥631.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,健帆生物的流动负债为87290万元,非流动负债为14.3亿元。另一方面,它的现金为27.1亿元,以及21780万元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它实际上拥有63180万元的流动资产超过总负债。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Jafron BiomedicalLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Jafron BiomedicalLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性表明健帆生物或许能够轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简而言之,健帆生物拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Even more impressive was the fact that Jafron BiomedicalLtd grew its EBIT by 125% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jafron BiomedicalLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
更令人印象深刻的是,健帆生物在过去十二个月里将EBIT增长了125%。如果保持这种增长,未来几年的债务将更加可控。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,公司的未来盈利能力将决定健帆生物是否能够随时间增强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想看看专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jafron BiomedicalLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Jafron BiomedicalLtd generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。健帆生物虽然在资产负债表上拥有净现金,但查看该公司是如何将利息和税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流也是很有趣的,因为这将影响它的债务需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,健帆生物产生的自由现金流占其EBIT的比率非常强劲,达到了84%,远超我们的预期。这使它在需要偿还债务时处于良好位置。
Summing Up
总之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jafron BiomedicalLtd has net cash of CN¥1.10b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 84% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥873m. So we don't think Jafron BiomedicalLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Jafron BiomedicalLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但您应牢记,健帆生物的净现金为11亿CN¥,而且流动资产多于负债。最值得庆贺的是,该公司将84%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了87300万CN¥。因此,我们认为健帆生物的债务使用并不风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个开始的地方。但最终,任何公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。请注意,健帆生物在我们的投资分析中有1个警示信号,您应该了解...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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