China West Construction Group (SZSE:002302) Sheds CN¥391m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
China West Construction Group (SZSE:002302) Sheds CN¥391m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the China West Construction Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002302) share price up 27% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 36% in that half decade.
虽然这对一些股东来说可能不够,但我们认为看到西部建设集团公司(SZSE:002302)的股价在一个季度内上涨27%是好事。但这并不能改变过去五年的回报不尽如人意的事实。在过去的五年中,如果您选择买入一个指数基金,会有更好的表现,因为该股票在这段时间内下跌了36%。
After losing 4.1% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在过去一周损失4.1%后,值得研究公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说,“船只会在世界各地航行,但是持平地球学会会蓬勃发展。在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差距……”评估公司周围情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Looking back five years, both China West Construction Group's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 15% per year. The share price decline of 9% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.
回顾过去五年,西部建设集团的股价和每股收益均有下降;后者的下降速度为每年15%。每年9%的股价下降并不算太糟糕,尤其是与每股收益的下降相比。因此,投资者可能会预期每股收益会反弹——或者他们可能早已预见到每股收益的下降。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China West Construction Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看关于西部建设的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China West Construction Group, it has a TSR of -32% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考量投资回报时,考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异是很重要的。TSR是一种回报计算,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和分拆的计算价值。可以公正地说,TSR为那些支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。以西部建设为例,它在过去五年的TSR为-32%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
China West Construction Group's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 14%. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 6%, which was endured over half a decade. We're pretty skeptical of turnaround stories, but it's good to see the recent share price recovery. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China West Construction Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
西部建设今年的TSR大致与市场平均水平持平,为14%。从积极的角度来看,这个增长令人欣喜,确实超过了过去五年逐年化的6%的TSR损失。我们对逆转故事持相当怀疑的态度,但看到近期股价恢复还是不错的。虽然值得考虑市场条件对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更加重要。例如,我们发现西部建设有1个警告信号,你在这里投资前应该留意。
We will like China West Construction Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到西部建设的大量内部购买,我们会更喜欢该公司。在我们等待的同时,查看这份关于近期有较大内部购买的低估股票(主要是小型股)的免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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