Ternium S.A.'s (NYSE:TX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Metals and Mining industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
What Does Ternium's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent revenue growth for Ternium has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Ternium will be hoping that this isn't the case.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ternium will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ternium?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Ternium's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 30% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.1% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.8% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ternium's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Ternium's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Ternium (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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