Investing in Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 104% Gain
Investing in Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 104% Gain
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE:KMI) share price is up 70% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 23% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 63% in the last year, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,投资者可以接近市场平均回报。但如果你选对了个别股票,你可能会赚得更多。例如,金德尔摩根公司(纽交所:KMI)的股价在过去三年上涨了70%,明显超过了约23%的市场回报(不包括分红派息)。然而,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,过去一年股票的回报率仅为63%,包括分红派息。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
那么让我们评估过去三年的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同向移动。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。考虑市场对公司看法变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的变化。
Kinder Morgan was able to grow its EPS at 14% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 19% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
金德尔摩根在三年内每年能够将每股收益增长14%,推动股价上涨。这一每股收益增长低于19%的股价年均增长。因此,可以合理假设市场对该业务的看法比三年前更高。看到市场在经历几年的增长后对股票进行“重新评估”并不罕见。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的每股收益(随时间)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Kinder Morgan's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我们喜欢内部人士在过去十二个月内买入股票。 话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和营业收入增长趋势是业务更有意义的指导。 不妨看看我们关于金德尔摩根的盈利、营业收入和现金流的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Kinder Morgan, it has a TSR of 104% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算方式,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红被再投资)和任何折扣资本募集及分拆的计算价值。 可以公平地说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了一个更完整的画面。 在金德尔摩根的情况下,其在过去3年里的TSR为104%。 这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。 而且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这一差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Kinder Morgan has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 63% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 13% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Kinder Morgan better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kinder Morgan (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
看到金德尔摩根在过去十二个月中给股东带来了63%的总股东回报,令人欣慰。 而且这包括分红。 这比过去五年13%的年化回报要好,暗示公司最近表现更好。 鉴于股价动能依然强劲,可能值得更仔细地观察这只股票,以免错过机会。 跟踪股价长期表现总是很有趣。 但是,要更好地理解金德尔摩根,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。 比如风险。 每家公司都有风险,我们发现了金德尔摩根的3个警告信号(其中2个有些令人担忧!)您应该了解。
Kinder Morgan is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
金德尔摩根并不是内部人士唯一购买的股票。如果你喜欢寻找不太知名的公司,这份最近有内部人士购买的成长公司免费名单,可能正合适。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。