With EPS Growth And More, Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) Makes An Interesting Case
With EPS Growth And More, Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) Makes An Interesting Case
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
许多投资者,尤其是那些缺乏经验的投资者,通常会购买有好故事的公司的股票,即使这些公司在亏损。但正如彼得·林奇在《华尔街的游戏》中所说,‘长线投资几乎从来不会带来回报。’一个亏损的公司尚未用盈利证明自己,最终外部资本的流入可能会枯竭。
In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.
与此相对,许多投资者更倾向于关注像Atmos Energy(纽交所:ATO)这样的公司,该公司不仅有营业收入,还有盈利。现在这并不是说该公司是周围最佳的投资机会,但盈利能力是商业成功的关键因素。
How Quickly Is Atmos Energy Increasing Earnings Per Share?
Atmos Energy的每股收益(EPS)增长速度有多快?
If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Over the last three years, Atmos Energy has grown EPS by 9.4% per year. That growth rate is fairly good, assuming the company can keep it up.
如果一家公司能持续增长每股收益(EPS),其股价最终也应该会上涨。这意味着,EPS增长被大多数成功的长期投资者视为真实的积极信号。在过去三年中,Atmos Energy的每股收益年增长率为9.4%。这个增长率相当不错,前提是公司能够持续保持。
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Atmos Energy's EBIT margins have actually improved by 7.5 percentage points in the last year, to reach 32%, but, on the flip side, revenue was down 2.6%. That's not a good look.
对营业收入增长和息税前利润(EBIT)利润率的仔细考虑可以帮助评估最近盈利增长的可持续性。Atmos Energy的EBIT利润率在过去一年中实际上提高了7.5个百分点,达到了32%,但另一方面,营业收入下降了2.6%。这并不好。
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
在下面的图表中,您可以看到该公司随着时间的推移如何增长盈利和营业收入。有关详细信息,请点击图片。
Of course the knack is to find stocks that have their best days in the future, not in the past. You could base your opinion on past performance, of course, but you may also want to check this interactive graph of professional analyst EPS forecasts for Atmos Energy.
当然,诀窍在于找到未来表现最佳的股票,而不是过去的股票。你当然可以根据过去的表现形成看法,但你也可能想查看这个关于Atmos Energy的专业分析师每股收益预测的互动图表。
Are Atmos Energy Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
Atmos Energy的内部人是否与所有股东保持一致?
It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.
人们常说,无火便无烟。对于投资者来说,内部人员的购买往往是指示哪些股票可能引发市场热潮的烟雾。因为通常来说,购买股票表明买家认为该股票被低估。然而,小规模的购买并不总是表明坚定的信念,内部人也不总是能够做出正确的判断。
While we did see insider selling of Atmos Energy stock in the last year, one single insider spent plenty more buying. Namely, company insider Edward Geiser out-laid US$362k for shares, at about US$145 per share. It's hard to ignore news like that.
虽然我们在过去一年里看到Atmos Energy的内部人卖出股票,但有一位内部人却花费了更多的资金来购买。也就是公司内部人Edward Geiser花费了36.2万美元购买股票,价格约为每股145美元。这样的消息很难被忽视。
The good news, alongside the insider buying, for Atmos Energy bulls is that insiders (collectively) have a meaningful investment in the stock. With a whopping US$68m worth of shares as a group, insiders have plenty riding on the company's success. That's certainly enough to let shareholders know that management will be very focussed on long term growth.
好消息是,Atmos Energy多头的内部人员(整体)在该股票中有着重要的投资。内部人员作为一个团体,总共拥有6800万美元的股票,他们在公司成功上押注颇多。这当然足以让股东们知道管理层将非常专注于长期增长。
Shareholders have more to smile about than just insiders adding more shares to their already sizeable holdings. That's because Atmos Energy's CEO, John Akers, is paid at a relatively modest level when compared to other CEOs for companies of this size. For companies with market capitalisations over US$8.0b, like Atmos Energy, the median CEO pay is around US$13m.
股东们有更多值得微笑的事情,不仅仅是内部人士增加他们已经庞大的股份。这是因为Atmos Energy的首席执行官约翰·阿克斯的薪酬相对其他同类公司的首席执行官来说,水平较为适中。对于市值超过80亿美金的公司,如Atmos Energy,首席执行官的中位数薪酬约为1300万美金。
The Atmos Energy CEO received US$8.1m in compensation for the year ending September 2023. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.
Atmos Energy的首席执行官在截至2023年9月的年度中获得了810万美金的薪酬。这实际上低于同类公司的首席执行官的中位数水平。首席执行官薪酬水平并不是投资者最重要的衡量标准,但当薪酬适中时,这确实有助于增强首席执行官与普通股东之间的协调。一般来说,可以认为合理的薪酬水平体现了良好的决策能力。
Should You Add Atmos Energy To Your Watchlist?
你应该将Atmos Energy添加到你的自选列表中吗?
As previously touched on, Atmos Energy is a growing business, which is encouraging. In addition, insiders have been busy adding to their sizeable holdings in the company. That should do plenty in prompting budding investors to undertake a bit more research - or even adding the company to their watchlists. What about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Atmos Energy you should know about.
如前所述,Atmos Energy是一家正在增长的业务,这让人鼓舞。此外,内部人士一直在积极增加他们在公司的持股。这应该能促使新投资者进行更多的研究,甚至将该公司添加到他们的自选列表中。风险方面呢?每个公司都有风险,我们发现Atmos Energy有3个你应该知道的警告信号。
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Atmos Energy, you'll probably love this curated collection of companies in the US that have an attractive valuation alongside insider buying in the last three months.
还有很多其他公司也有内部人士购买股票。因此,如果你喜欢Atmos Energy的声音,你可能会喜欢这份精心挑选的美国公司集合,这些公司在过去三个月有着吸引人的估值,并且有内部买入。
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
请注意,本文讨论的内部交易是指在相关管辖区内可报告的交易。
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