These 4 Measures Indicate That Mango Excellent Media (SZSE:300413) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Mango Excellent Media (SZSE:300413) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Mango Excellent Media Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300413) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持他)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久资本损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢观察它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。我们可以看到,芒果超媒股份有限公司(SZSE:300413)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家公司无法轻松地通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本来履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会对业务构成风险。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被其银行毫不留情地清算。然而,另一种更常见(但仍然需要成本)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉价格发行股份,永久性地稀释股东,只是为了改善其资产负债表。然而,通过替代稀释,债务对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,可以是一个非常好的工具。当我们思考一家公司对债务的使用时,我们首先将现金和债务结合在一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does Mango Excellent Media Carry?
芒果超媒的债务有多少?
As you can see below, Mango Excellent Media had CN¥33.8m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥172.7m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.96b in cash, leading to a CN¥4.92b net cash position.
正如下方所示,截至2024年9月,芒果超媒的债务为3380万人民币,比一年前的17270万人民币减少。但另一方面,它也有49.6亿人民币的现金,导致净现金为49.2亿人民币。
How Strong Is Mango Excellent Media's Balance Sheet?
芒果超媒的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Mango Excellent Media had liabilities of CN¥9.80b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥211.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.96b and CN¥5.42b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥368.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,芒果超媒在一年内有98亿元的负债,并且有21170万元的负债在之后到期。另一方面,它有49.6亿元的现金和54.2亿元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它实际上拥有36810万元的流动资产,超过了总负债。
Having regard to Mango Excellent Media's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥57.2b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Mango Excellent Media has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
考虑到芒果超媒的规模,它的流动资产与总负债似乎保持良好的平衡。因此,虽然很难想象这家572亿元的公司在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为监控其资产负债表是值得的。简单来说,芒果超媒拥有的现金多于债务,这无疑是一个良好的迹象,表明它能够安全地管理其债务。
On the other hand, Mango Excellent Media's EBIT dived 14%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mango Excellent Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
另一方面,芒果超媒的EBIT在过去一年中下降了14%。我们认为这样的表现如果频繁重演,很可能会导致股票出现困难。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定芒果超媒是否能够随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Mango Excellent Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Mango Excellent Media's free cash flow amounted to 26% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来支付债务;会计利润是无法满足的。虽然芒果超媒在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但查看该业务如何将税前息前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响到它管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,芒果超媒的自由现金流占其EBIT的26%,低于我们的预期。这种疲弱的现金转换使得处理债务变得更加困难。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Mango Excellent Media has net cash of CN¥4.92b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Mango Excellent Media's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Mango Excellent Media has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
虽然我们同情那些对债务感到担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,芒果超媒的净现金为人民币49.2亿,流动资产比负债更充裕。因此,我们对芒果超媒的债务使用没有任何问题。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的有关债务的信息是最多的。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表上,远非如此。例如,芒果超媒有3个警告信号(其中2个是重要的),我们认为您应该了解。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的特别公司列表(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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